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Pre-Season XC 2011

BOYS Teams - New York State 2011

Bill Meylan (August 3, 2011)

 

[ Combined Teams ] .. [ Class A ] .. [ Class B ] .. [ Class C ] .. [ Class D ] .. [ CHSAA - AIS - PSAL ]

Boys - Potential Top Overall Contenders & Class Contenders

Pre-season team rankings have problems: ... first, they are based (in large part) on last year's results ... more recent track results may or may not have relevance for the upcoming XC season ... some runners improve (some improve a lot) ... a few runners transfer or quit ... new runners can join a team and make a big difference ... So any pre-season rankings must be viewed in that context.

What good are pre-season rankings?
 (1) a fun topic of conversation during the summer
 (2) beneficial in gathering background information for the upcoming season

Once the XC season starts, I rank individual runners and teams based strictly on performance during the current season ... So pre-season rankings are not used during the season.

For the most part, the team listing below is just an extension of the 2010 XC season into 2011 with a few modifications ... IF data for 5 runners on each team was not readily available, that team is probably NOT included below ... I ignored last year's modified runners.

Initially, the Combined Class List included 70+ teams, but I began removing teams with lower scores to make computer race simulations more manageable ... Other teams could be included, but time constraints are necessary  ... Data on selected teams by class is also posted including relevant track times at 3200m, 1600m  and Steeplechase.

Remember ... this list is just an informational starting point ... I posted scores by individual class (because some people are interested) ... A lot can change between early August and November.

NOTE ... All team classes assume the proposed class cut-off numbers will be adopted ... New York is going from five classes in 2010 to four classes in 2011... 

 

 New York BOYS Teams - Combined Classes

                  Pre-Season Projection - New York Boys Team Contenders - 2011

      ---------------------------------------                 ---------------------------------------
            Scores Using Top 40 Teams                               Scores Using Top 22 Teams
      ---------------------------------------                 ---------------------------------------
                                     Section-                                                Section-
      Team                   Score    Class                   Team                   Score    Class
      ------------------     -----   --------                 ------------------     -----   --------
  1   Shaker                   90    (02-A )              1   Shaker                   80     (02-A )
  2   Rush-Henrietta          145    (05-A )              2   Rush-Henrietta          120     (05-A )
  3   Fayetteville-Manlius    190    (03-A )              3   Fayetteville-Manlius    150     (03-A )
  4   Arlington               265    (01-A )              4   Arlington               195     (01-A )
  5   St. Anthony's           270    (CHSAA)              5   St. Anthony's           215     (CHSAA)
  6   East Aurora             395    (06-B )              6   East Aurora             285     (06-B )
  7   Smithtown               420    (11-A )              6   Walt Whitman            285     (11-A )
  7   Warwick Valley          420    (09-A )              8   Smithtown               295     (11-A )
  7   Maine-Endwell           420    (04-B )              8   Warwick Valley          295     (09-A )
  10  Walt Whitman            425    (11-A )              8   Maine-Endwell           295     (04-B )
  11  Saratoga                435    (02-A )              11  Saratoga                305     (02-A )
  12  Monsignor Farrell       480    (CHSAA)              12  Monsignor Farrell       320     (CHSAA)
  12  Burnt Hills             480    (02-B )              13  Burnt Hills             325     (02-B )
  14  Brewster                490    (01-B )              14  Brewster                330     (01-B )
  15  Brighton                510    (05-B )              15  Sachem East             345     (11-A )
  16  Carmel                  525    (01-A )              16  Brighton                350     (05-B )
  17  Pittsford Mendon        530    (05-B )              17  Carmel                  350     (01-A )
  17  Sachem East             530    (11-A )              17  Ithaca                  355     (04-A )
  17  Ithaca                  530    (04-A )              19  Pittsford Mendon        355     (05-B )
  20  Port Washington         570    (08-A )              20  Port Washington         365     (08-A )
  20  Harborfields            570    (11-B )              21  Harborfields            375     (11-B )
  22  Chaminade               590    (CHSAA)              21  Chaminade               375     (CHSAA)
  23  Irondequoit             605    (05-A )
  24  Corning                 610    (04-A )
  25  Pearl River             615    (01-B )
  26  Suffern                 625    (01-A )
  26  Pittsford Sutherland    625    (05-B )
  28  Queensbury              630    (02-B )
  28  Northport               630    (11-A )
  30  Bethlehem               635    (02-A )
  31  North Rockland          650    (01-A )
  31  Bishop Gibbons          650    (02-C )
  31  Niskayuna               650    (02-A )
  34  Collegiate              660    (AIS  )
  35  Elmira District         685    (04-A )
  36  Washingtonville         690    (09-A )
  37  Shenendehowa            710    (02-A )
  38  Somers                  720    (01-B )
  38  St. John Baptist        720    (CHSAA)
  40  Commack                 730    (11-A )	

Where did the scores come from? ... In part, the scores are a composite of computer race simulations using 2010 seasonal speed ratings ... a few speed rating ranges were altered based on track results ... I manually manipulated some numbers (because I wanted to).

In General ... Shaker is the favorite entering the 2011 XC season followed by Rush-Henrietta and Fayetteville-Manlius ... Additional comments and information are given below by class.

 

 

 Class A - Boys ... Pre-Season 2011
 
   Team                   Score   Section-Class
   ------------------     -----   -------------
   Shaker                   70      (02-A )
   Rush-Henrietta          100      (05-A )
   Fayetteville-Manlius    120      (03-A )
   Arlington               160      (01-A )
   Smithtown               250      (11-A )
   Warwick Valley          250      (09-A )
   Walt Whitman            250      (11-A )
   Saratoga                275      (02-A )
   Ithaca                  315      (04-A )
   Carmel                  315      (01-A )
   Sachem East             315      (11-A )
   Port Washington         340      (08-A )
   Suffern                 345      (01-A )
   Irondequoit             350      (05-A )
   Corning                 360      (04-A )
   Bethlehem               365      (02-A )
   North Rockland          365      (01-A )
   Northport               370      (11-A )
   Niskayuna               375      (02-A )
   Washingtonville         390      (09-A )
   Elmira District         400      (04-A )
   Shenendehowa            410      (02-A )
   Commack                 415      (11-A ) 
The top four pre-season teams in NY State are all Class A teams in 2011.

Shaker was the State Class AA champion in 2010 ... Shaker returns four of their top five runners (including the top three runners from States, Federation, and NXN Nationals) ... Shaker finished 13th at NXN Nationals and the top four runners from NXN Nationals return in 2011 ... Shaker will likely be ranked fairly high nationally at the beginning of XC 2011 (and deservedly so) ... Shaker adds some "new blood" with the addition of former soccer player Ethan Hausamann  who had some good track performances at 3200m (9:43) and 1600m (4:29) ... and this helps solidify Shaker as the NY State favorite entering XC 2011.

Rush-Henrietta returns their top four runners from States and should be very good in 2011 ... Rush-Henrietta has a very strong "pack" of runners which will help them in major races.

Fayetteville-Manlius is an interesting prospect and a challenge to project in pre-season (it's something of a guess) ... Nick Ryan is one of the individual favorites entering 2011, so FM will begin their team score with a very low number (possibly a 1 which is a big advantage) ... Fayetteville-Manlius graduated two of their top three runners from States and NXN Nationals (Mark McGurrin and Andrew Roache), and that obviously hurts ... FM finished 2nd at NXN Nationals and two other returning runners (Ben Thomas and Jules Wellner) will provide some experience and ability to help Nick Ryan (and in typical FM fashion, you can expect Thomas and Wellner to show improvement) ... Incoming freshman Bryce Millar ran very nicely during track (as an 8th-gader) and posted very good times at 3200m (10:03) and 1600m (4:32), so I project some significant improvement at XC in 2011 ... and I suspect FM will find a decent #5 runner ... But this is guesswork, and I'm "guessing" Coach Bill Aris is wondering how this will all turn out.

Arlington was 5th at States in 2010 ... they return their top three from States plus their 5th and 6th, so Arlington is expected to be good in 2011 (and maybe surprisingly good).

 

 
                              3200     1600    Steep    XC-Rating   XC Ratings by Race 2010
                              ----     ----    -----    ---------  -------------------------------------------
Shaker
  Christian Delago      12     --      4:15r   1:51r(800)  184     174 187 186 186 187 188 181 178 173 164 172
  Michael Libruk        12    9:30     4:19    1:54r(800)  183     181 185 180 184 183 182 181 182 177 184 174
  Jon Vallecorsa        12    9:34     4:25y    --         179     162 175 184 175 182 181 181 181 176 180 176
  Ryan Recchia          12    10:21    4:56     --         170     162 169 173 170 173 165 175 171 168 170 159
  Adam Schwenzfeier     11    10:09    4:44    10:26       163     153 163 164 156 170 163 165 154 156 158 160
  Jackson Ciavordoni    12     --      4:45     --         158     156 161 156 152 150 142 153
  Brian Hickey          12     --      4:47     --         151     151 152 150 140 144
  Brian O'Connor        12     --       --      --         150     139 153
  Dan Ruiz              11     --       --      --         148     149 147
  Ethan Hausamann       12    9:43     4:29     --         ---     New to XC in Fall 2011

Rush-Henrietta
  Mickey Burke          10    9:34     4:27     --         179     177 173 183 178 182 173 166
  Nate Kozyra           12    9:52     4:29y   10:02       178     178 175 172 177 180 179 170
  Andrew Sweeney        12    9:51     4:30y    --         175     175 174 168 174 177 174 166
  Alex Raymond          12     --      4:34y   1:58(800)   170     169 167 167 173 171 170 165
  Colby Burke           12     --      4:27y   1:57(800)   162     158 144 165 171 163 158
  Pat Aiken             12     --      4:55    1:58(800)   157     160 153 154 144
  Mike Schantz          11    10:35    5:03     --         148     139 142 156 148 143 137
  Tyler Gerhardt        11    10:25     --      --         148     144 146 153 143 141
  Brennan Root          11     --       --     10:29       148     138 148 149

Fayetteville-Manlius
  Nick Ryan             11    9:11     4:21y    --         185     186 187 180 183 184 176 169
  Ben Thomas            12    9:47     4:34     --         169     168 170 163 168 166 170 164
  Jules Wellner         12     --      4:39     --         166     162 167 166 169 163 163 158
  Connor Farrell        11     --       --      --         156     157 157 150 124
  Colin Fitzgibbons     11     --       --      --         152     151 154 145 147
  Bryce Millar          9     10:03    4:32     --         152     141 158 136
  Mohammad Zatar        11     --       --      --         148     142 150
  Charlie Beeler        11     --       --      --         147     145 148 143

Arlington
  Eddie Merenda         12    9:40     4:41     --         180     177 179 182 179 183 168 179 177 180
  Sebastion Hanson      11    9:32     4:25     --         173     168 171 175 176 170 177 169 173 169 165
  Chris Wise            12    9:53     4:35     --         171     165 173 168 169 169 175 161 168 169 166
  ManJinder Singh       12    10:38    4:55    10:48       160     156 153 164 156 155 164 149 164 157 159
  Steve Morrison        10     --      4:35     --         158     153 151 161 158 156 165 152 159 159 153
  Krystopher Lotocky    12     --      4:36     --         155     159 141 133 157 149
  Nick Netto            11     --       --      --         147     130 144 152
  Aaron Ryley           11    10:15     --      --         147     146 145 147 144 147


                           XC-Rating   XC Ratings by Race 2010
                           ---------  -----------------------------------
Smithtown
  Robert Calamia        12    173     176 171 170 158 166 152 147
  Pat Ginty             11    171     172 171 172 169 171 169 164 160 152
  Michael Catalano      12    164     158 160 169 165 160 166 161 157 148
  Mike Lynch            12    154     151 155 153 156 156 140 141
  Mike Emerson          12    152     148 154 150
  Gavin Shulock         12    151     130 149 159 152 152 152 131 138
  Patrick McGuire       11    150     145 155 142 132

Warwick Valley
  Paddy Grandinali      12    174     173 171 175 177 166 170
  Aaron Peterson        11    166     164 165 164 170 167 166 159
  Grant Parrelli        11    161     154 156 164 167 159 159
  Ray Farinella         12    157     154 154 160 159 150 151
  Jared Olson           11    154     155 152 140
  Joe Delaunay          11    143     144 140

Walt Whitman
  Michael Damato        11    179     181 177 179 177 172 174 160
  Zach Cammer           11    179     170 180 183 177 172 170 161
  Patrick Cummings      12    163     162 161 164
  Brian Windisch        11    153     151 142 157 148
  Nick DeNuzzo          12    149     136 152 150 138
  Chris Laucella        12    148     144 150
  Greg Apostle          12    143     145 139 140

Saratoga
  Jonathan Moore        12    167     164 169 152 166
  Jonah Williams        12    166     165 168 156 164
  Travis Briggs         11    158     156 160 147
  Brian Halligan        11    155     157 151 150
  Andrew Maguire        11    155     152 158 149 150
  Jay Navin             10    154     156 153 143 140
  Matt Slein            11    153     150 156 148 148 152
  Brad Ecker            10    141     115 142 145		

 

 Class B - Boys ... Pre-Season 2011
 
   Team                   Score   Section-Class
   ------------------     -----   -------------
   East Aurora             145      (06-B )
   Maine Endwell           145      (04-B )
   Burnt Hills             165      (02-B )
   Brewster                170      (01-B )
   Pittsford Mendon        185      (05-B )
   Brighton                190      (05-B )
   Harborfields            200      (11-B )
   Pittsford Sutherland    225      (05-B )
   Queensbury              225      (02-B )
   Pearl River             230      (01-B )
   Franklin Acad           265      (10-B )
   Somers                  265      (01-B )
   Broadalbin-Perth        265      (02-B )
   Marcellus               270      (03-B )
   Honeoye FL              280      (05-B )
   Tappan Zee              280      (01-B )
   Shoreham-Wading R       290      (11-B ) 

Class B could be an interesting class in 2011 ... East Aurora was the Class B champion in 2010, but lose two of their top five;  East Aurora returns a decent core and they usually seem to find new runners with talent ... Maine-Endwell (3rd at States in 2010) returns a good group runners and should be a serious challenger for the title. 

Burnt Hills loses their top runner (Otis Ubriaco, and some other good runners to graduation) but Burnt Hills always seems to have good team depth so I expect they will be very competitive ... Brewster has a very strong top three runners ... if Brewster can develop some corresponding strength at the #4 and #5-positions, they will be a serious challenger for the Class B title.

 
                           XC-Rating   XC Ratings by Race 2010
                           ---------  ---------------------------------------------------
East Aurora
  Sean Phillips         11    167     164 162 165 172 169 166 167 169 169 169 165 160 155
  Gene Barritot         11    165     163 168 163 165 166 164 160 158 161 155 139 138
  Brendan Keany         11    163     164 160 162 164 164 145 144 144
  Larkin Bohanan        12    159     154 167 153 151 142 162 152 162 152 141 156 142
  Elliott Martynkiewicz 12    159     154 160 160 160 160 159 157 155 157 155 151 146
  Nic Zee               12    145     146 141 136 145

Maine-Endwell
  Ryan Brizzolara       12    168     170 168 163 162 164 162 157 158
  Nick Miller           12    164     165 162 167 164 162 146
  Jesse Brenon          11    161     155 165 160 158 157 158 151 155 148
  Andres Rodriguez      12    160     158 162 156 160 163 160 162 159
  Bryant Hatala         11    156     152 164 156 154 157 155 136 152 150
  Corey Wasilnak        12    146     139 150 138 146 148 133 139 139
  Nate Smith            10    132     132 130

Burnt Hills
  Buddy Herkenham       12    170     168 168 170 175 170 172 171 160 161 157
  Dan Fernandez         12    165     164 160 168 163
  Joe Chapman           12    161     150 159 153 169 165 164 167 166 163 149
  Joe Girard            11    154     153 149 135 160 159 157 156 158 154 159
  Drew Loeffler         12    151     146 151 149 155 153 147 140
  Jared Short           9     146     146
  Patrick McGuinness    10    144     142 138 141 151 143
  James Mango           12    140     133 137 142

Brewster
  Justin Maguire        12    176     174 172 180 180 179 171 171 167 167 168 172
  Charlie Carr          12    174     164 176 178 171 174 174 157 177 173 170
  Adam McIe             12    171     163 175 176 164 170 167 152 163 159
  Alec Budd             11    146     139 149 147 115 152 135 124 132
  Nick Cortina          12    145     140 145 145 143 149 138 142 141 137 146
  Winfield Greene       12    144     143 142 145 138 139
  Silas Gallagher       12    140     130 145 129 135 148 126 139
  Nick Foy              12    131     131 131 130

Pittsford Mendon
  Will Burton           12    171     167 171 172 164
  Jack Wesley           10    162     154 163 163 161 150
  Matt VanVleck         11    161     160 163 161 156 154
  Corey Pavia           12    153     138 157 150 153 149
  Reed Likly            12    149     146 140 152
  Connor Green          10    147     147
  Rob Young             11    146     137 149 141

Brighton
  Matthew Tarduno       12    165     165 166 161 128
  Eric Stahl            12    162     165 155 156 162 157
  Andrew Mullen         11    160     163 152 148 162
  Will Ronchetti        11    156     156
  Neil Ryan             11    150     150 148
  Zachary Simpson       10    147     149 142 146 139 149 141
  Sammy Coons           11    146     138 144 150 146
  Yuxuan Xia            12    144     143 134 146
  Eli Zoghlin           12    141     136 136 146

Harborfields
  Austin Coneys         12    173     162 173 176 153 173 166 174 177
  Cameron Coneys        12    166     160 165 169 171 150 145 153
  Tyler Gamble          12    158     147 157 158 156 162 163 162 159 158
  Conor Murphy          12    153     143 151 153 155 161 156 155 151 147
  Walter Brandsema      12    145     145
  Andrew Moberg         12    141     141		

 

 Class C - Boys ... Pre-Season 2011
 
   Team                   Score   Section-Class
   ------------------     -----   -------------
   Bishop Gibbons          130      (02-C ) ** not sure if in Class C
   Bronxville              130      (01-C )
   Pawling                 150      (01-C )
   Fonda Fultonville       170      (02-C )
   Fredonia                195      (06-C )
   Holland Patent          200      (03-C )
   Hannibal                200      (03-C )
   Port Jefferson          220      (11-C )
   Rye Neck                240      (01-C )
   Newark Valley           250      (04-C )
   Tully                   260      (03-C )
   CBA                     260      (03-C )
   Schuylerville           260      (02-C )
   Solvay                  275      (03-C )
   Jordan-Elbridge         275      (03-C )
   South Lewis             290      (03-C )
   Oyster Bay              295      (08-C )
   Voorheesville           300      (02-C ) 
The Class C Boys has one uncertainty  that won't be addressed until late August ... In what class will Section 2 assign Notre Dame-Bishop Gibbons?? ... Apparently, Section 2 officials meet in late August to decide the class designations for the private schools in Section 2 NYSPHSAA ... Notre Dame-Bishop Gibbons has an enrollment number of 154 (boys + girls) which would be Class D in most sections; Last year, Notre Dame-Bishop Gibbons had an enrollment number of 148 and were assigned Class B in the five-class scenario ... I'm guessing they will be Class C, but who knows??

Overall, Notre Dame-Bishop Gibbons and Bronxville seem fairly close ... Bishop Gibbons will get competition in Section 2 from Fonda-Fultonville ... and Bronxville will get competition from Pawling in Section 1.

Fonda-Fultonville edged Holland Patent at last year's Class C race, but both teams had significant graduations.

 

 
                           XC-Rating   XC Ratings by Race 2010
                           ---------  -------------------------------------------
Notre Dame-Bishop Gibbons
  Jason Lange           11    167     170 156 167 163 172 165 162 160 166
  Matt Lange            11    165     165 151 170 169 161 166 157 148 157 158
  Jordan Pantalone      11    162     139 156 168 168 162 170 163 157 162 169
  Nick Przekurat        11    143     129 149 141 126 142 145 125
  David Knapick         12    131     132 122
  Steve Dixon           11    123     85 128 127

Bronxville
  Dayton Flannery       12    169     168 167 171 169 168 171 167 162 162 157 160
  John Flannery         10    163     146 163 167 162 154 160 164 153 152 151
  Tyler Grantham        12    150     139 154 153 142 151 126 138 132 131 138
  James Harrison        12    146     121 127 146 141 150 136 150 150 139 122
  John Vetromile        11    141     137 147 127 138 133 133 134 132
  John Harrison         12    129     116 133 124 131 122 129

Pawling
  Matt Jorgensen        11    163     162 165 165 160 158 163 153 150
  Colin Souter          12    157     144 157 160 159 165 159 148 142
  Taylor Souter         12    152     147 147 157 155 155 151 147 146 138
  Dylan Smith           11    139     125 140 142 138 137 137 135
  Kevin Hunter          12    137     129 139 134 139 140 139 123
  Brady McGee           12    131     129 132 123 138 130 121 120

Fonda-Fultonville
  Matt Hoffman          11    162     163 161 161 161 164 156 157 156 158 152 159
  Michael Scott         12    160     164 162 158 152 153 139 159 147 148 142 143
  Tyler Angioli         11    151     155 144 148 148 147 144 148 144 139 139 140
  Jimmy Westman         11    138     138
  Omijah Piening        11    128     123 129 124 129

Fredonia
  Josh Szukala          12    161     147 162 162 167 159 167 158 154
  Alex Crise            12    149     140 141 153 151 152 152 149 140
  Chaz Mancino          12    144     126 141 144 148 152 149 142
  Vincent Ippolito      11    138     125 140 139 134
  Mark Dudek            12    134     123 126 140 135 132 131
  Jake Brown            11    109     103 105 112

Holland Patent
  Kevin Sidoran         12    156     159 150 151 161 149 152 157 153 139 140
  Erran Gates           12    156     158 155 150 152 153 150 151 154 133 136
  Todd Stevens          11    144     147 131 143 145 129 144 136 146 135 135
  Evan Smith            12    127     131 121 117 130 119 110 114
  Barrett Celecki       10    125     127 127 114 122 113 123 104 113
  Matt Herringshaw      12    112     97 105 120 113 106
  Matt Tomasik          12    111     116 104 106 98 84 98

Hannibal
  Ryan Perry            11    153     151 152 154 155 147 140
  Ben Griffin           12    153     150 146 155 156 152 148
  Curtis Baker          12    144     135 144 145 148 144 138
  Ben Slate             10    144     139 144 146 138 137 136
  James Sullivan        12    134     128 131 132 147
  Josh Darrow           10    101     105 84 92
  Frank Lackey          11    98      97 98 87 102 73	

 

 Class D - Boys ... Pre-Season 2011
 
   Team                   Score   Section-Class
   ------------------     -----   -------------
   Barker                   85      (06-D )
   Berne-Knox-Westerlo      95      (02-D )
   Berlin                  150      (02-D )
   Campbell-Savona         170      (05-D )
   Beaver River            180      (03-D )
   Seton Catholic          180      (07-D )
   Notre Dame-Batavia      185      (05-D )
   Geneseo                 185      (05-D )
   LaFayette               220      (03-D )
   SS Seward               240      (09-D )
   Mayfield                250      (02-D )
   Delhi                   260      (04-D )
   Onondaga                290      (03-D )
   Weedsport               290      (03-D )
   Cooperstown             290      (03-D )
   Sandy Creek             330      (03-D )
   Fabius-Pompey           340      (03-D ) 
The Class D Boys "seems" to be fairly close between Barker and Berne-Knox-Westerlo ... Barker finished second to Geneseo last year and Barker returns their top four runners from States (Geneseo losses three of their top five to graduation) ... Berne-Knox-Westerlo was Class C last year.

 

 
                           XC-Rating   XC Ratings by Race 2010
                           ---------  -----------------------------------
Barker
  Tyler Scheving        12    159     160 151 160 160 159 150 139
  Jedediah Platt        12    154     156 149 153 154 155 133 139
  Mike Lantinen         12    152     148 152 152 151 154 143 142
  Jordan Bender         11    144     146 145 140 143 141 123 133
  Marc Delamarter       12    137     136 139 137 135 139 124 124
  Bryce Moeller         10    131     119 126 139 125

Berne-Knox-Westerlo
  Derek Struck          12    164     160 167 165 166 159 163 155 149 159
  Sean Reynolds         12    158     157 154 158 159 153 160
  Connor Devine         12    157     156 156 156 153 152 160
  Dominic Woodmansee    10    134     134 134 135 130 135 129 120 126
  Logan Flavell         12    130     132 131 129 123 114 111 115
  Elijah Murphy         12    129     132 118 130 128 133 124 120 125
  Taylor DellaRocco     12    125     126 112 125 120 107 126 120 130
  Ryan Bellinger        12    117     121 104 109	

 

 CHSAA - PSAL - AIS - Boys ... Pre-Season 2011
 
   Team                   Score   Section-Class
   ------------------     -----   -------------
   St. Anthony's            45      (CHSAA)
   Monsignor Farrell        70      (CHSAA)
   Chaminade               100      (CHSAA)
   Collegiate              115      (AIS  )
   St. John Baptist        135      (CHSAA)
   Regis                   155      (CHSAA)
   Stuyvesant              160      (PSA  )
   Francis Lewis           175      (PSA  )
   Midwood                 190      (PSA  )
   Kellenberg              220      (CHSAA) 
St. Anthony's appears to be the favorite in the CHSAA (they return a deep and talented team) ... Monsignor Farrell also has some depth ... and I expect Chaminade will be competitive (perhaps more so than suggested by last year's XC performances).

 

 
                              3200     1600    Steep    XC-Rating   XC Ratings by Race 2010
                              ----     ----    -----    ---------  -------------------------------------------------
St. Anthony's
  Thomas Diliberto      12    9:20     4:21    9:31        180     178 180 184 175 177 171 165 172 174
  Kevin Kreider         12    9:51     4:23     --         165     166 165 167 163 162 155 159 148
  Brian Smith           12    10:15    4:40y   9:59        164     163 168 157 157 154 159 160
  Frank Segreto         12    9:59     4:31y   10:02       162     148 164 150 170 166 164 157 165 156
  Jake Hensler          11    10:13    4:41    10:02       161     160 162 164 159 156 161 154 149 153
  Sean Fitzgerald       11    10:19    4:45    10:39       157     144 158 161 151
  Matthew Taddeo        11    9:53     4:35     --         154     146 159 145 157 148 140
  Robert Ferrara        12    10:20    4:54     --         154     150 150 157 157 135 145
  Will Isenberg         11     --      4:49     --         153     154 145 151
  Christopher Regan     11    10:00     --      --         151     151 152 147

Monsignor Farrell
  Dan Galford           11    9:39     4:21     --         176     155 180 177 170 174 172 185 171 180 172 175 169 169
  Steve Arnone          12    9:51     4:39y    --         161     162 160 156 165 159 155 160 161 150 158 156
  John Bentivegna       11    9:46     4:36y    --         158     147 158 164 157 156 155 162 155 151 153 148 148 142
  John Lucchesi         12     --      4:36    10:18       156     147 151 154 158 147 166 160 112 158
  Alex LoPresti         12     --       --      --         155     145 161 148 154 156 147 153 156 136 145 141
  Daniel Lewandowski    11     --      4:41    10:16       148     129 142 154 150 140 148 152
  Matt Tymon            12     --      4:48     --         147     149 144 141 134 147 144 143
  Daniel Stanilewicz    12     --       --     10:35       147     144 147 146
  Michael Hartnett      11     --      5:01     --         138     130 138 136 130 145

Chaminade
  Thomas Awad           12    9:09     4:12     --         181     183 185 171 178 175 166 173 157 166 155
  Joseph Ferencik       12     --      4:30     --         159     156 160 155 161 157 150
  Brent Harrison        12     --      4:43y    --         157     157
  Matthew Walsh         11    10:28    4:43     --         152     152 150
  Brian Shalley         12     --       --      --         148     148
  Christopher Grant     11     --      4:33     --         147     146 134 150

Collegiate
  Will McDuffie         12    9:47     4:19     --         172     167 174 173 174 172 168 168 160 161
  Liam Trotzuk          12    10:15     --      --         155     153 150 156 152 161 156 150 159
  Daniel Ryu            12     --      4:36     --         154     151 158 154 147 152 148 152 144 142
  J.P. Meredith         11    10:24    4:49     --         154     144 154 158 157 147 140 153 142 149
  Isao Anzai            11     --      4:41     --         148     135 148 151 152 139 143 137 151
  Will Garcia           12     --       --     1:58(800)   141     141
  Matt Matera           12   10:31     4:48     --         133     133 125 119 144