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 NXN Boys & Girls Team Projections for 2015

Purpose  ... The purpose of these projections is to get a General Idea of team strength based on speed ratings ... The purpose is NOT to predict exactly where each and every runners will finish (that is impossible no matter how good the data) ... I want ONLY an overall idea of where teams MIGHT finish relative to each other.

These projections could be considered similar to the "Morning Line" of a horse race ... I'm trying to provide information to bettors.

Speed is only one factor used in handicapping races and speed can be inconsistent for some runners ... See the "Importance of Speed Ratings in Handicapping NXN Nationals" article for additional information.

Three Team Scores are posted below:
 .. (1) The Overall Morning-Line Team Scores ... a combination of the overall ratings listed below PLUS some manual manipulation (based on historical trends or current information) to try and projection what "bettors" might actual consider a starting point for wagering ... Personally, I might actually bet somewhat differently.
 .. (2) Team Scores Using NXN Regional Speed Ratings
 .. (3) Team Scores Using State Meet Speed Rating (Note - for California, the actual CA State Meet ratings are applied to NXN Region (since it was the CA NXN qualifier) ... CA Section Final speed ratings used for "State" scores below)

See text files of data (worksheets of various team speed ratings by race):
 .... Boys Team Data of Speed Ratings by race ]
 .... Girls Team Data of Speed Ratings by race ]

Initial projections posted on December 1, 2015  ... ACTUAL SCORES ADDED December 5, 2015

 ACTUAL SCORES ADDED December 5, 2015

[ Girls Projections ]

 

 Boys NXN Projected Team Scores 2015 ... Great Oak CA a solid favorite
 
                                                                  ACTUAL RESULTS 
 Overall Morning-Line Team Scores - Boys               (after the race)  
                                                                       
                                                                                           
                                                                                                  Pred
   1   Great Oak              CA    169  (California)         1   Great Oak            CA   114   (1 )
   2   Sandburg               IL    205  (Midwest   )         2   American Fork        UT   163   (6 )
   3   Hopkins                MN    206  (Heartland )         3   Dana Hills           CA   181   (4 )
   4   Dana Hills             CA    220  (California)         4   Sandburg             IL   196   (2 )
   5   The Woodlands          TX    229  (South     )         5   Timpanogos           UT   205   (9 )
   6   American Fork          UT    232  (Southwest )         6   The Woodlands        TX   206   (5 )
   7   Downingtown West       PA    245  (Northeast )         7   Hopkins              MN   233   (3 )
   8   Liverpool              NY    246  (New York  )         8   Bozeman              MT   250   (20)
   9   Timpanogos             UT    251  (Southwest )         9   Lyons                IL   262   (10)
   10  Lyons                  IL    271  (Midwest   )         10  Liverpool            NY   264   (8 )
   11  Fayetteville-Manlius   NY    279  (New York  )         11  Lone Peak            UT   277   (17)
   12  Christian Brothers     NJ    290  (Northeast )         12  Mountain Vista       CO   289   (14)
   13  Edina                  MN    307  (Heartland )         13  Edina                MN   291   (13)
   14  Mountain Vista         CO    308  (Southwest )         14  Wayzata              MN   309   (15)
   15  Wayzata                MN    313  (Heartland )         15  Marietta             GA   336   (21)
   16  Neuqua Valley          IL    318  (Midwest   )         16  Southlake Carroll    TX   344   (18)
   17  Lone Peak              UT    335  (Southwest )         17  Downingtown West     PA   364   (7 )
   18  Southlake Carroll      TX    347  (South     )         18  Summit               OR   378   (19)
   19  Summit                 OR    367  (Northwest )         19  Neuqua Valley        IL   381   (16)
   20  Bozeman                MT    370  (Northwest )         20  Christian Brothers   NJ   401   (12)
   21  Marietta               GA    371  (Southeast )         21  Fayetteville-Manlius NY   425   (11)
   22  Trinity Prep           FL    395  (Southeast )         22  Trinity Prep         FL   471   (22)



         Team Scores Based on                                  Team Scores Based on
        NXN Regional Speed Ratings                           State Meet (or Sectional) Speed Ratings

 1   Great Oak              CA     90    (California)          1   Great Oak              CA    166
 2   Dana Hills             CA    140    (California)          2   The Woodlands          TX    167
 3   Hopkins                MN    208    (Heartland )          3   Hopkins                MN    197
 4   Sandburg               IL    239    (Midwest   )          4   Sandburg               IL    204
 5   Liverpool              NY    255    (New York  )          5   Dana Hills             CA    221
 6   Downingtown West       PA    262    (Northeast )          6   Timpanogos             UT    226
 7   The Woodlands          TX    275    (South     )          7   Christian Brothers     NJ    239
 8   American Fork          UT    277    (Southwest )          8   Downingtown West       PA    239
 9   Neuqua Valley          IL    281    (Midwest   )          9   Lyons                  IL    260
 10  Wayzata                MN    287    (Heartland )          10  Liverpool              NY    278
 11  Edina                  MN    289    (Heartland )          11  Mountain Vista         CO    282
 12  Lyons                  IL    290    (Midwest   )          12  American Fork          UT    299
 13  Timpanogos             UT    292    (Southwest )          13  Marietta               GA    303
 14  Lone Peak              UT    299    (Southwest )          14  Edina                  MN    306
 15  Mountain Vista         CO    308    (Southwest )          15  Bozeman                MT    312
 16  Fayetteville-Manlius   NY    318    (New York  )          16  Fayetteville-Manlius   NY    324
 17  Southlake Carroll      TX    341    (South     )          17  Wayzata                MN    338
 18  Bozeman                MT    363    (Northwest )          18  Lone Peak              UT    354
 19  Christian Brothers     NJ    376    (Northeast )          19  Trinity Prep           FL    369
 20  Summit                 OR    381    (Northwest )          20  Neuqua Valley          IL    380
 21  Marietta               GA    382    (Southeast )          21  Summit                 OR    488
 22  Trinity Prep           FL    417    (Southeast )          22  Southlake Carroll      TX    515
		

Pre-Race Comments ... All eleven years of NXN have demonstrated that most teams will NOT have their best race of the year at NXN ... Many runners will have speed ratings lower than the individual runner projections below (this is expected because national competition on a new course is a new type of experience for many runners ... add in traveling, time-changes, etc) ... Most runners perform best on familiar courses (typically local courses for them) ... The projected ratings are just a vehicle for projecting relative team scores.

The overall morning-line team scores projected above are based (in part) on the individual ratings below ... There were instances where I needed to make a "best guess" concerning ratings for individual runners with inconsistent speed ratings to approximate an overall-combined rating ... and incorporate possible inconsistencies into final projected team scores.

Many runners are not consistent from race-to-race (runners have good races, bad races and average races) ... That's why predicting a team score based of any one race MAY be misleading in terms of actual team ability ... I prefer a series of races (whenever possible) to identify runners with big variations in performance ... Then I need to figure-out how to handle these variations in predicting the next race (Handicapping can be both fun and frustrating) ... Notice the difference in team scores from NXN regional ratings and State Meet ratings above.

General Team Comments:

The morning-line at most horse tracks considers three factors: (1) past performance history of each horse, (2) an opinion of what people are likely to bet, and (3) a handicapping opinion of the person making the morning-line.

Great Oak CA is the clear morning-line favorite based on recent performance ... Sandburg IL, Hopkins MN, Dana Hills CA, and The Woodlands TX are the next group of teams in the morning-line and are favorites in terms of "making the podium" (finishing in the top three) ... However, half the field has credentials to "make the podium" with a top seasonal performance.

NXN Nationals is a special race because all 22 teams are top national teams ... There are no poor teams in this race ... Ever year I get comments from fans of teams projected to finish at or near the bottom ... "How can you pick a team this good to finish that bad" ... Well, NXN is like a top Stakes-Grade horse race where all the horses are really good ... and often it is harder to pick who will finish last than who will finish first.

As noted above, some of the teams are going to run "sub-par" creating an opportunity for other teams ... This "sub-par" factor applies equally to the girl's race.

Guessing which teams will run sub-par at NXN is exactly that - It's a Guess ... and predicting the exact order of finish is a "crap-shoot" to a certain degree .... Note: I expect the top three scoring teams may have lower scores than the predicted scores (that typically happens because many teams have "off" races which raises their score and lowers the score of teams that do run well).

Remember ... Teams performing at (or above) performance levels getting them to NXN Nationals typically jump up significantly in projected finish-positions.

Individual Team Comments:

Great Oak CA ... Great Oak had an excellent season-best performance at the California State Meet ... If Great Oak can duplicate that performance at Glendoveer Golf Course, they could win very handily and score much lower than the projected score above ... The NXN Regional team scores above show how much better the two California teams score compared to all others ... I used CA State Meet as California's NXN regional race and the SS-Finals for their "State" meet ratings above - This is an advantage for California teams (in terms of high speed ratings at regionals) because the CA State Meet is an in-season meet at a familiar location that most CA teams "focus-on" and go all-out to perform ..... Not all, but many teams coming to NXN from around the country have higher speed ratings at their State meets compared to their NXN regional meets ... some are not allowed to have their school coaches out-of-season ... many have to travel out-of-state and run on unfamiliar courses.

Having a season-best race the week before NXN Nationals might seem like good handicapping factor ... But previous results suggest that may not be the case ... Last year, the La Salle Academy Rhode Island boys had the best NXN regional performance in the nation, and they finished 18th at NXN Nationals ... There are other examples ... Perhaps the extra effort takes something out of a few team members in conjunction with the NXN demands so close to an all-out effort.

I would lower expectations of Great Oak if NXN 2015 was being contested on the muddy Portland Meadows course ... But it is being run at Glendoveer Golf Course, and last year's results suggest Glendoveer may be better for most California teams ... Still, Glendoveer in December may have an effect since it is different than most California courses.

Great Oak did not have a good performance when they were beaten by Timpanogos UT at the Bob Firman Invitational in Idaho (at the NXN Northwest course on Sept 26th) ... But recent performances by Great Oak suggest they will be very hard to beat ... Great Oak goes 7 runners deep and that's another reason they are the favorite.

Sandburg IL ... Sandburg finished 15th at NXN last year, and that NXN experience should be very helpful this year ... Sandburg has a deep team and a real shot at the podium and the title ... They have performed at a very high level all season.

Hopkins MN ... Hopkins won the Heartland regional by an impressive 64 points with a spread of only 18.5 seconds from 1st to 5th (and speed ratings of 184-178) ... That is definitely a podium-quality team ... But in terms of computer simulated races, Hopkins is only 5 runners deep with respect to NXN ... One scoring runner having an off-day will hurt their score and finish position ... But should all five scorers run well with a couple having seasonal bests, Hopkins could win NXN ... I gave Sandburg a slight edge based solely on depth.

Dana Hills CA ... Dana Hills had a very nice seasonal-best performance at the CA State Meet ... Duplicating that performance will put them on the podium, and should Great Oak falter, Dana Hills could win NXN ... But my concerns noted above for Great Oak apply to Dana Hills as well ... I won't be surprised if Great Oak and Dan Hills finish one-two ... But I also won't be surprised if they don't ... It really is a handicapping guess - Can they duplicate their CA State Meet performance the following week??.

The Woodlands TX ... The Woodlands had a big season-best performance at the Texas State Meet (a definite NXN podium quality performance) ... They were not as good at the NXN South regional ... That might set them up for good performance at NXN ... My concern about The Woodlands is this - The Woodlands finished last at NXN 2014 and last at NXN 2012 ... This year's team is definitely stronger and has a real shot at the podium.

American Fork UT ... American Fork finished 5th at NXN last year, 7th in 2013 and 2nd in 2012 ... American Fork has one of the best cross country programs in the nation ... They are consistently good and have a real shot at the podium again ..... American Fork was selected as an "At-Large" team after finishing 4th at the Southwest regional behind Mountain Vista, Timpanogos, and Lone Peak (team scores of 108-109-109-121) ... BUT look what happens in the team scoring above based on speed ratings from the regional races ... American Fork moves ahead of the other Southwest teams ... This is great example of how team scores depend on who else is in the race.

Downingtown West PA ... Downingtown West gained national attention after winning the Manhattan Invitational Championship race ... Their performance levels make them a contender for a podium spot ... This is their first trip to NXN Nationals which might be a disadvantage compared to other teams.

Liverpool NY ... Liverpool finished 4th at NXN last year and 20th in 2013 ... I suspected the Glendoveer course would help both the Liverpool and Fayetteville-Manlius boys last year (and it did) ... Liverpool has been running very well and is in the running for a podium spot.

Fayetteville-Manlius NY ... Fayetteville-Manlius is the defending NXN Champion ... FM finished 4th at NXN in 2013 ... The Fayetteville-Manlius guys have been an auto-qualifier to NXN the last eight years! ... Their top runner entering the NXN regional race did not run (Peter Ryan) ... I doubt I would have picked them as an auto-qualifier knowing Ryan was missing, but the other FM guys did a great job ... Projecting their team score becomes problematic not knowing Ryan's status or ability to run effectively ... Peter Ryan was FM's #1 runner at NXN last year ... The projected team score above is a bit of a compromise.

Christian Brothers NJ ... CBA-NJ finished 11th NXN last year, 2nd in 2013, 4th in 2012 and they won NXN in 2011 ... That says a lot ... Even though this year's CBA team has yet to reach those performance levels, they have shown contending ability.

 

Individual Race Comments:

The table below lists the top runners at NXN 2015 by approximate best speed rating ... 36 of the 49 runners listed below qualified as individuals (not on a team competing at NXN).

Ben Petrella has the best speed rating entering the race (199) which was run at the NXN regional at Bowdoin Park (3rd best ever at Bowdoin, and only a few seconds behind Nick Ryan and Mikey Brannigan) ... Nick Ryan (FM) had the top speed rating entering NXN 2012 (201), but Nick got tackled in a pile-up early in NXN 2012 and never had a chance ... Ben Petrella will be hard-pressed to win with many top competitors in this race.

Austin Tamagno is running NXN instead of Footlocker because he taking an ACT test on the day of Footlocker Nationals ... Jonathan Davis won both Footlocker Midwest and NXN Midwest (and that marks him as a favorite) ... Ben Veatch, Paul Roberts, Eduardo Herrera, David Principe Jr, Casey Clinger, Jaret Carpenter, Alek Parsons and others are really close.

Should be a good & interesting race.

 
Top Individual Runners (Both Team & Individual):  
                                                             
                                                            Best Speed
Name                  Grade     School              State     Rating    Region
--------------------  -----    -------------------  -----     ------    ---------
Ben Petrella           12      Liverpool              NY       199      New York
Austin Tamagno         12      Brea Olinda            CA       198      California   ** Individual
Jonathan Davis         12      Oakwood                IL       197      Midwest      ** Individual
Benjamin Veatch        12      Carmel                 IN       197      Midwest      ** Individual
Paul Roberts           12      Lyons                  CO       197      Southwest    ** Individual
Eduardo Herrera        12      Madera South           CA       197      California   ** Individual
David Principe Jr      11      La Salle Academy       RI       197      Northeast    ** Individual
Casey Clinger          11      American Fork          UT       196      Southwest
Jaret Carpenter        12      Wayzata                MN       196      Heartland
Alek Parsons           12      Ogden                  UT       195      Southwest    ** Individual
Blaise Ferro           12      Christian Brothers     NJ       195      Northeast
Micah Mather           12      Highland Park          MN       195      Heartland    ** Individual
Brody Smith            12      Cody                   WY       195      Northwest    ** Individual
Spencer Dodds          12      Great Oak              CA       194      California
Seth Hirsch            11      Millard West           NE       194      Heartland    ** Individual
Aaron Groff            12      Cherry Hill East       NJ       194      Northeast    ** Individual
Aidan Tooker           12      Saratoga Springs       NY       194      New York     ** Individual
William Handley        12      Timpanogos             UT       193      Southwest
Sam Clausntizer        12      Bismarck               ND       193      Heartland    ** Individual
Jack Aho               11      Grayslake Central      IL       193      Midwest      ** Individual
Charlie Kern           10      York                   IL       193      Midwest      ** Individual
Jack Yearian           12      Bellarmine Prep        WA       193      Northwest    ** Individual
Brodey Hasty           10      Brentwood              TN       193      Southeast    ** Individual
Reed Brown             11      Southlake Carroll      TX       192      South
Cole Spencer           12      Great Oak              CA       192      California
Jake Ogden             12      Dana Hills             CA       192      California
Sean Torpy             12      Sandburg               IL       192      Midwest
Andy Monroe            10      Crater                 OR       192      Northwest    ** Individual
Tim Bason              12      W Windsor-Plainsboro S NJ       192      Northeast    ** Individual
Steven Khan            11      Ayala                  CA       192      California   ** Individual
Isaac Cortes           12      Great Oak              CA       191      California
Joe Benson             11      Timpanogos             UT       191      Southwest
Finn Gessner           11      Madison La Follette    WI       191      Heartland    ** Individual
Ahmed Muhumed          11      West Salem             OR       191      Northwest    ** Individual
Chris Henry            12      Laramie                WY       191      Northwest    ** Individual
Isaac Green            11      Monarch                CO       191      Southwest    ** Individual
Henry Raymond          12      Poudre                 CO       191      Southwest    ** Individual
Ben Butler             12      Sky View               CO       191      Southwest    ** Individual
Jeremy Brown           12      Broughton              NC       191      Southeast    ** Individual
Matthew Bouthillett    12      La Salle Academy       RI       191      Northeast    ** Individual
Kenny Vasbinder        12      East Aurora            NY       191      New York     ** Individual
Noah Carey             11      Guilderland            NY       191      New York     ** Individual
Garrett Reynolds       12      Ventura                CA       191      California   ** Individual
Justin Robison         12      Lynbrook               CA       191      California   ** Individual
Jaxson Hoey            12      Downingtown West       PA       190      Northeast
Morgan Beadlescomb     12      Algonac                MI       190      Midwest      ** Individual
Devyn Keith            12      John Curtis            LA       190      South        ** Individual
Kevin Murray           12      Charter Wilmington     DE       190      Southeast    ** Individual
Donovan Glavin         12      McQuaid Jesuit         NY       190      New York     ** Individual



Where the BOYS Team Scores came from ... 
  (Overall Ratings based on NXN Regional, State Meet plus other available meets ...
    See Boys Team Data of Speed Ratings by race ....) 


Team Runners and Ratings by Team:
                                                             Overall
                                                              Speed
Name                  Grade     School              State     Rating    Region
--------------------  -----    -------------------  -----     ------    ---------

Casey Clinger           11     American Fork          UT      195.5     Southwest
McKay Johns             11     American Fork          UT      183.0     Southwest
Patrick Parker          11     American Fork          UT      180.0     Southwest
Joe Simmons             12     American Fork          UT      179.0     Southwest
Hagen Harmer            12     American Fork          UT      171.5     Southwest
Jason Manning           12     American Fork          UT      166.3     Southwest
Patrick Larkin          12     American Fork          UT      165.0     Southwest

Riley Collins           11     Bozeman                MT      184.0     Northwest
Chase Equall            11     Bozeman                MT      181.1     Northwest
Caleb Allen             12     Bozeman                MT      174.2     Northwest
Orrin Clark             11     Bozeman                MT      172.7     Northwest
Duncan Hamilton         10     Bozeman                MT      167.3     Northwest
Dylan Humberger         10     Bozeman                MT      154.7     Northwest
Seth Vinger             10     Bozeman                MT      143.5     Northwest

Blaise Ferro            12     Christian Brothers     NJ      193.7     Northeast
Brian Dengler           12     Christian Brothers     NJ      177.0     Northeast
Paul Knepple            12     Christian Brothers     NJ      175.5     Northeast
Noah Yuro               11     Christian Brothers     NJ      175.1     Northeast
Drake Anzano            11     Christian Brothers     NJ      174.5     Northeast
Brian Hill              10     Christian Brothers     NJ      173.5     Northeast
Nick Trigani            12     Christian Brothers     NJ      173.4     Northeast

Jake Ogden              12     Dana Hills             CA      190.5     California
Jack Landgraf           10     Dana Hills             CA      186.0     California
Mason Coppi             12     Dana Hills             CA      186.0     California
Brandon Hough           11     Dana Hills             CA      176.1     California
Colin Stein             12     Dana Hills             CA      175.3     California
Thomas Wilfert          11     Dana Hills             CA      173.4     California
John Turner             11     Dana Hills             CA      171.5     California

Jaxson Hoey             12     Downingtown West       PA      188.1     Northeast
Josh Hoey               10     Downingtown West       PA      188.0     Northeast
Henry Sappey            12     Downingtown West       PA      185.0     Northeast
Ryan Barton             11     Downingtown West       PA      173.7     Northeast
Ben Ryherd              12     Downingtown West       PA      171.0     Northeast
Jake O'Neill            11     Downingtown West       PA      169.0     Northeast
Drew Alansky            11     Downingtown West       PA      162.7     Northeast

Jack Manderscheid       12     Edina                  MN      186.3     Heartland
Patrick Roos            11     Edina                  MN      186.0     Heartland
Sam Thomas              12     Edina                  MN      179.4     Heartland
Noah Chestler           12     Edina                  MN      172.0     Heartland
Owen Smalley            11     Edina                  MN      167.5     Heartland
Max Manley              9      Edina                  MN      165.9     Heartland
Sam Elliott             10     Edina                  MN      155.0     Heartland

Peter Ryan              12     Fayetteville-Manlius   NY      184.6     New York
Bryan Geehrer           12     Fayetteville-Manlius   NY      183.7     New York
Patrick Perry           11     Fayetteville-Manlius   NY      183.6     New York
Joe Walters             11     Fayetteville-Manlius   NY      177.5     New York
Jack Boltman            11     Fayetteville-Manlius   NY      170.0     New York
Ben Otis                10     Fayetteville-Manlius   NY      167.4     New York
Max Perry               9      Fayetteville-Manlius   NY      150.0     New York

Spencer Dodds           12     Great Oak              CA      193.1     California
Cole Spencer            12     Great Oak              CA      191.0     California
Isaac Cortes            12     Great Oak              CA      189.1     California
Solomon Fountain        11     Great Oak              CA      183.5     California
Nelson Quintana         12     Great Oak              CA      177.5     California
Tony Robinson           12     Great Oak              CA      176.0     California
Brandon Shields         12     Great Oak              CA      172.4     California

Owen Hoeft              12     Hopkins                MN      184.0     Heartland
Seth Eliason            11     Hopkins                MN      183.1     Heartland
Jack Henschel           12     Hopkins                MN      181.9     Heartland
Hunter Staack           12     Hopkins                MN      177.4     Heartland
Sam Branson             12     Hopkins                MN      176.6     Heartland
Bridger Pavelka         12     Hopkins                MN      160.1     Heartland
Eli Hoeft               9      Hopkins                MN      160.0     Heartland

Ben Petrella            12     Liverpool              NY      197.5     New York
Ty Brownlow             11     Liverpool              NY      182.5     New York
Stevie Schulz           11     Liverpool              NY      181.5     New York
Terrell Coleman         12     Liverpool              NY      174.7     New York
Ryan Comstock           12     Liverpool              NY      172.4     New York
Daniel Hunt             12     Liverpool              NY      164.0     New York
Gabe Albert             11     Liverpool              NY      154.0     New York

Jamison Wilkes          12     Lone Peak              UT      181.0     Southwest
Adam Jensen             12     Lone Peak              UT      180.5     Southwest
Seth Freckleton         11     Lone Peak              UT      176.0     Southwest
Justin Hartshorn        10     Lone Peak              UT      174.0     Southwest
Zack Erickson           11     Lone Peak              UT      172.1     Southwest
Craik Evans             10     Lone Peak              UT      163.1     Southwest
Josh Erickson           10     Lone Peak              UT      156.0     Southwest

Danny Kilrea            10     Lyons                  IL      185.1     Midwest
Vince Zona              11     Lyons                  IL      183.0     Midwest
Connor Madell           12     Lyons                  IL      177.7     Midwest
Matt Begeman            12     Lyons                  IL      176.5     Midwest
Alex Pall               11     Lyons                  IL      170.0     Midwest
Tim McCarthy            12     Lyons                  IL      162.0     Midwest
Dan Plamer              12     Lyons                  IL      151.0     Midwest

Carlos Torres           12     Marietta               GA      180.1     Southeast
David Savic             12     Marietta               GA      180.0     Southeast
Hayden Tullos           11     Marietta               GA      177.0     Southeast
Ben Patterson           11     Marietta               GA      174.0     Southeast
KhayVonn Benson         12     Marietta               GA      172.4     Southeast

Paxton Smith            12     Mountain Vista         CO      182.5     Southwest
Joshua Romine           11     Mountain Vista         CO      179.5     Southwest
Parker Mackay           10     Mountain Vista         CO      178.5     Southwest
Alex Fu                 12     Mountain Vista         CO      176.3     Southwest
Shayan Zarrin           10     Mountain Vista         CO      171.8     Southwest
Ryan Currie             12     Mountain Vista         CO      169.0     Southwest
Weston Hart             11     Mountain Vista         CO      160.0     Southwest

Scott Anderson          11     Neuqua Valley          IL      181.0     Midwest
Jake McEneaney          11     Neuqua Valley          IL      177.8     Midwest
Aidan Livingston        12     Neuqua Valley          IL      176.2     Midwest
Matt Milostan           11     Neuqua Valley          IL      175.0     Midwest
Danny Winek             10     Neuqua Valley          IL      175.0     Midwest
Caleb Ferguson          12     Neuqua Valley          IL      174.1     Midwest
Dominic Dina            12     Neuqua Valley          IL      171.0     Midwest

Sean Torpy              12     Sandburg               IL      190.0     Midwest
Chris Torpy             12     Sandburg               IL      182.2     Midwest
Max Lehnhardt           12     Sandburg               IL      180.2     Midwest
Brandon Lukas           12     Sandburg               IL      179.0     Midwest
Tom Brennan             12     Sandburg               IL      175.0     Midwest
David Gleisner          12     Sandburg               IL      174.0     Midwest
Martin Skucas           11     Sandburg               IL      170.5     Midwest

Reed Brown              11     Southlake Carroll      TX      191.0     South
Charlie Gardner         11     Southlake Carroll      TX      182.5     South
Timou Toure             12     Southlake Carroll      TX      174.0     South
Michael Waugh           12     Southlake Carroll      TX      169.0     South
Nicholas Fernandes      11     Southlake Carroll      TX      168.0     South
Shea Whatley            12     Southlake Carroll      TX      163.0     South
Michael Simcho          12     Southlake Carroll      TX      162.0     South

Alex Martin             12     Summit                 OR      184.8     Northwest
Thomas Schoderbek       11     Summit                 OR      175.8     Northwest
Benjamin Wasserman      12     Summit                 OR      173.5     Northwest
Eric Fykerud            12     Summit                 OR      170.5     Northwest
Scott Kinkade           11     Summit                 OR      170.1     Northwest
Jett Ballantyne         10     Summit                 OR      170.1     Northwest
Niklas Sjogren          11     Summit                 OR      156.0     Northwest

Daniel Golden           12     The Woodlands          TX      187.0     South
William Hunsdale        11     The Woodlands          TX      181.0     South
Noah Wells              11     The Woodlands          TX      179.5     South
Nicholas Enochs         12     The Woodlands          TX      177.5     South
Matthew McClellan       12     The Woodlands          TX      174.7     South
Matthew Henderson       12     The Woodlands          TX      171.2     South
Nick Hawley             12     The Woodlands          TX      168.0     South

William Handley         12     Timpanogos             UT      190.0     Southwest
Joe Benson              11     Timpanogos             UT      187.0     Southwest
Gabe Prettypaint        12     Timpanogos             UT      179.0     Southwest
Cameron Benson          12     Timpanogos             UT      175.0     Southwest
Brennan Benson          10     Timpanogos             UT      170.9     Southwest
Elijah Nimmer           12     Timpanogos             UT      168.0     Southwest
Ben Berlin              10     Timpanogos             UT      167.0     Southwest

Chas Cook               12     Trinity Prep           FL      180.1     Southeast
Trent Mandato           11     Trinity Prep           FL      179.0     Southeast
Kayamo Galloway         8      Trinity Prep           FL      173.7     Southeast
Jesse Millson           12     Trinity Prep           FL      172.0     Southeast
Patrick Salas           11     Trinity Prep           FL      170.1     Southeast
Preston Copenhaver      11     Trinity Prep           FL      160.2     Southeast
Mamush Galloway         8      Trinity Prep           FL      153.9     Southeast

Jaret Carpenter         12     Wayzata                MN      195.0     Heartland
Khalid Hussein          10     Wayzata                MN      178.0     Heartland
Gemechu Meskele         11     Wayzata                MN      176.0     Heartland
Kyle Brandt             12     Wayzata                MN      174.3     Heartland
Nicholas Shaleen        12     Wayzata                MN      170.1     Heartland
Wes Heal                12     Wayzata                MN      169.0     Heartland
Andrew Millan           12     Wayzata                MN      168.0     Heartland

 

GIRLS Projections:

 Girls NXN Projected Team Scores 2015 - Fayetteville-Manlius the favorite again
 
                                                                    ACTUAL RESULTS 
 Overall Morning-Line Team Scores - Girls             (after the race)
                                                                                                                 
                                                                                                  Pred
   1   Fayetteville-Manlius  NY     79   (New York  )         1   Fayetteville-Manlius NY    55   (1 )
   2   Great Oak             CA    147   (California)         2   Davis Senior         CA   144   (11)
   3   Saratoga Springs      NY    239   (New York  )         3   Great Oak            CA   171   (2 )
   4   American Fork         UT    242   (Southwest )         4   Saratoga Springs     NY   207   (3 )
   5   Pennsbury             PA    245   (Northeast )         5   Pennsbury            PA   241   (5 )
   6   Carmel                IN    279   (Midwest   )         6   American Fork        UT   247   (4 )
   7   Naperville North      IL    280   (Midwest   )         7   Sunset               OR   255   (12)
   8   Centerville           OH    281   (Midwest   )         8   Carmel               IN   256   (6 )
   9   Northville            MI    290   (Midwest   )         9   Willmar              MN   262   (10)
   10  Willmar               MN    299   (Heartland )         10  North Rockland       NY   301   (15)
   11  Davis Senior          CA    301   (California)         11  Centreville          OH   303   (8 )
   12  Sunset                OR    302   (Northwest )         12  Blacksburg           VA   323   (20)
   13  Lake Braddock         VA    307   (Southeast )         13  Lake Braddock        VA   331   (13)
   14  Edina                 MN    325   (Heartland )         14  Naperville North     IL   336   (7 )
   15  North Rockland        NY    329   (New York  )         15  Southlake Carroll    TX   340   (22)
   16  Bozeman               MT    341   (Northwest )         16  Edina                MN   348   (14)
   17  La Salle Academy      RI    342   (Northeast )         17  Northville           MI   360   (9 )
   18  Davis Utah            UT    361   (Southwest )         18  La Salle Academy     RI   361   (17)
   19  Xavier Col Prep       AZ    378   (Southwest )         19  Bozeman              MT   369   (16)
   20  Blacksburg            VA    381   (Southeast )         20  Davis UT             UT   412   (18)
   21  Kingwood              TX    399   (South     )         21  Xavier Col Prep      AZ   415   (19)
   22  Southlake Carroll     TX    400   (South     )         22  Kingwood             TX   422   (21)



      Team Scores Based on                                  Team Scores Based on
     NXN Regional Speed Ratings                              State Meet (or CA Sectional) Speed Ratings

 1   Fayetteville-Manlius  NY       74    (New York  )        1   Fayetteville-Manlius  NY       64
 2   Great Oak             CA      123    (California)        2   American Fork         UT      199
 3   Davis Senior          CA      123    (California)        3   Saratoga Springs      NY      204
 4   Pennsbury             PA      211    (Northeast )        4   Edina                 MN      216
 5   Saratoga Springs      NY      218    (New York  )        5   Great Oak             CA      223
 6   American Fork         UT      234    (Southwest )        6   Carmel                IN      228
 7   Carmel                IN      265    (Midwest   )        7   Pennsbury             PA      233
 8   Edina                 MN      282    (Heartland )        8   Naperville North      IL      263
 9   Willmar               MN      284    (Heartland )        9   La Salle Academy      RI      275
 10  Naperville North      IL      290    (Midwest   )        10  Bozeman               MT      283
 11  Lake Braddock         VA      293    (Southeast )        11  North Rockland        NY      293
 12  Northville            MI      298    (Midwest   )        12  Davis Utah            UT      301
 13  Centerville           OH      315    (Midwest   )        13  Centerville           OH      305
 14  Sunset                OR      325    (Northwest )        14  Sunset                OR      307
 15  North Rockland        NY      338    (New York  )        15  Lake Braddock         VA      319
 16  Bozeman               MT      339    (Northwest )        16  Xavier Col Prep       AZ      347
 17  Blacksburg            VA      372    (Southeast )        17  Northville            MI      348
 18  Davis Utah            UT      390    (Southwest )        18  Blacksburg            VA      357
 19  Xavier Col Prep       AZ      394    (Southwest )        19  Willmar               MN      372
 20  La Salle Academy      RI      413    (Northeast )        20  Davis Senior          CA      403
 21  Kingwood              TX      431    (South     )        21  Southlake Carroll     TX      406
 22  Southlake Carroll     TX      465    (South     )        22  Kingwood              TX      502
		

Pre-Race Comments ... History has a habit of repeating itself and top high school cross country teams have a habit of returning to NXN Nationals ... Seven of the top 10 girls teams from NXN 2014 return to NXN 2015 (including the top four teams from 2014 - Fayetteville-Manlius, Great Oak, Carmel and Naperville North)... and perennial favorite Fayetteville-Manlius NY is the favorite again.

Fayetteville-Manlius, Great Oak and Saratoga Springs are projected in the top three spots ... Fayetteville-Manlius and Great Oak look fairly solid in the top two spots .. But I think a bunch of teams are in the hunt for the third podium spot.

Individual Team Comments:

Fayetteville-Manlius NY  ... Fayetteville-Manlius has won 8 of the last 9 NXN National Championships and are the favorite again ... Fayetteville-Manlius should win handily if they run to their performance levels of the NXN Regional or NY State Meet races ... This team does not look as vulnerable as last year's team which won handily.

Great Oak CA ... Great Oak is very good again and they go 7 runners deep ... Top runner Destiny Collins has been hampered by a shin split problem, but she demonstrated nice improvement at the California State Meet (speed rating of 150), and I know she is better than that if healthy and fit ... Great Oak performed better on the new NXN course at Glendoveer last year, so look for another good performance by Great Oak this year ... Saratoga and Davis Senior are the only teams that have demonstrated the strength to challenge Great Oak for the second-spot on the podium, and Saratoga has not been up to those levels in the past few races.

Davis Senior CA ... Davis Senior had a big season-best performance at the California State Meet where they lost to Great Oak by only 2 points in the Division 1 Championship race ... Obviously, that performance would make Davis Senior a prime contender for a podium spot ... Top runner Fiona O’Keeffe hadn’t raced since early October due to tendinitis and nagging leg injuries, and she finished as the #1 Davis Senior runner ... Had she not run, it would have added about 60 points to the team score ... This article: http://www.bluedevilhub.com/2015/11/29/womens-cross-country-shocks-the-state-with-second-place-finish/ describes the heroic effort by the team and Fiona O’Keeffe ... Fiona O’Keeffe could barely stand after the race and was carried from the finish-line ... It seems quite possible she may not race at NXN, and that makes a big difference in the projections ... The softer ground at the Glendoveer course "might" be helpful to somebody suffering her injuries ... But I'm guessing she will not race, and that's how the projection above was made ..... In addition, the Davis Senior performance at States was by far their best team performance of the season, and that type of performance is very difficult to duplicate the following week ... That said, Davis Senior is in the running for a podium spot ..... I wonder if Davis Senior would be happier (1) beating Great Oak at States  or  (2) finishing 3rd at NXN, and which race is more important.

Saratoga Springs NY ... Saratoga  has a young team again this season (4 freshmen, 2 sophomores and a junior) ... Like last year, Saratoga has a real shot at a podium spot if they can duplicate their better performances of the season ... Freshman Kelsey Chmiel gives Saratoga a top front runner in the team scoring which was lacking in the past two NXN National races.

American Fork UT ... American Fork has raced well all season and had a season-best performance at NXN Southwest ... Their only loss of the season came at the Bob Firman Invite in Idaho where Great Oak beat them (scores of 43-77), and they have improved since that race ... American Fork did not perform well at last year's NXN, but that experience will likely help them this year ... a solid contender for a podium spot.

Pennsbury PA ... Pennsbury performed very nicely at the PA State Meet, and then a bit better after a three week gap to NXN Northeast ... The performances of Pennsbury and Saratoga at the NXN regionals (run at Bowdoin Park) were virtually identical in terms of handicapping potential ... and that makes Pennsbury a serious challenger for a podium spot.

Carmel IN ... Carmel has raced very well at NXN ... Carmel was 3rd last year, 4th in 2013, 3rd in 2012, 5th in 2011 and 7th in 2010 ... Carmel finished 4th in the very talented NXN Midwest Region and were selected as an At-Large team (a good selection in my opinion) ... Carmel finished behind Centreville, Northville and Naperville North at NXN Midwest (team scores of 145-152-153-159) ... BUT look what happens in the team scoring above based on speed ratings from the regional races ... Carmel moves ahead of the other Midwest teams ... This is another good example of how team scores depend on who else is in the race ... Like last year, the entire team ran Footlocker Midwest as a tune-up for NXN ... Definitely a contender.

Naperville North IL ... Naperville North finished 4th at NXN last year ... Like Carmel, Naperville North was selected as an At-Large team ... Top runner Judy Pendergast qualified for both NXN and Footlocker, and starting the Naperville North team score with a very low number is a nice advantage at NXN.

Centreville OH ... Centreville is the NXN Midwest Region and Ohio State Champions ... They have raced well all season ... Centreville is a contender for a podium spot with a top team performance.

Northville MI ... Northville is the first Michigan team to race at NXN Nationals ... Their status to race was in doubt, but the Michigan Association finally approved it ... I hope Northville races well and motivates other Michigan teams to compete at NXN in the future.

Sunset OR ... Sunset gained national attention with an excellent performance against Great Oak at the Woodbridge Invite in California ... Sunset followed that with another good performance at the Nike Portland Invite ... Unfortunately, one of their good scorers (Kelly Makin) was injured after a meet in early October and had to take a few weeks off from training which resulted in lower performances at the Oregon State Meet and NXN Northwest ... If she can regain some of the early season form during the 3 week gap between NXN Northwest and NXN Nationals, Sunset could improve on the projected finish shown above.

 

Individual Race Comments:

This year's race is once again deep and talented ... 18 girls have a speed rating of 150 or higher.

Katie Rainesberger is the favorite entering the race ... she is undefeated in 2015 and has the highest individual speed rating in the nation (160) ... Weini Kelati has a speed rating of 159, but she is running Footlocker instead of NXN ... Unfortunately, the two will not be facing each other head-to-head.

Judy Pendergast has run very well all season and qualified for both NXN and Footlocker ... Stephanie Jenks also qualified for both NXN and Footlocker ... Kaitlyn Neal just ran the 3rd fastest time ever at Bowdoin (a couple of seconds faster than Mary Cain) ... as noted above, Fiona O'Keeffe is hurt and her status is questionable.

A bunch of runners are close behind with the talent the challenge for a top position ... This could be a really good race with lots of girls vying for a top five placing ... I'm expecting Judy Pendergast to be on or near the lead early on with Katie Rainsberger close ... a bunch of runners are likely to be in a pack close behind ... Christina Aragon had her best XC performance ever at NXN Northwest and she and Katie Rainsberger are two of the best milers in the nation ... Katie Murphy has been getting faster all season .... This is a really good race.

 
Top Individual Runners (Both Team & Individual):  
                                                             
                                                            Best Speed
  Name                Grade     School              State     Rating    Region
--------------------  -----    -------------------  -----     ------    ---------
Katie Rainsberger      12      Air Academy            CO       160      Southwest    ** Individual
Judy Pendergast        12      Naperville North       IL       157      Midwest
Kaitlyn Neal           12      Fayetteville-Manlius   NY       156      New York
Fiona O'Keeffe         12      Davis Senior           CA       156      California
Stephanie Jenks        12      Linn Mar               IA       156      Heartland    ** Individual
Christina Aragon       12      Billings Senior        MT       154      Northwest    ** Individual
Kate Murphy            11      Lake Braddock          VA       152      Southeast
Kelsey Chmiel          9       Saratoga Springs       NY       152      New York
Claire Walters         8       Fayetteville-Manlius   NY       152      New York
Cailie Logue           11      Girard                 KS       152      Heartland    ** Individual
Abbey Wheeler          12      Elmira                 NY       152      New York     ** Individual
Cate Ratliff           12      Santa Cruz             CA       152      California   ** Individual
Ella Donaghu           12      Grant                  OR       151      Northwest    ** Individual
Aislinn Devlin         11      Dowingtown East        PA       151      Northeast    ** Individual
Morgin Coonfield       12      Mckinleyville          CA       151      California   ** Individual
Destiny Collins        12      Great Oak              CA       150      California
Grace Ping             8       Cotter                 MN       150      Heartland    ** Individual
Bethany Hasz           12      Alexandria             MN       150      Heartland    ** Individual
Emma Benner            12      Forest Lake            MN       150      Heartland    ** Individual
Anna West              12      Lafayette              MO       148      Midwest      ** Individual
Lindsey Payne          10      Glenbard West          IL       148      Midwest      ** Individual
Diana Vizza            12      North Shore            NY       148      New York     ** Individual
Gillian Meeks          12      Gunn                   CA       148      California   ** Individual
Sarah Leinheiser       11      Carmel                 IN       147      Midwest
Olivia Sargent         12      Pennsbury              PA       147      Northeast
Courtney Wayment       12      Davis Utah             UT       147      Southwest
Madison Troy           10      Grandville             MI       147      Midwest      ** Individual
Tiahna Vladic          9       Billings Senior        MT       147      Northwest    ** Individual
Rachel McArthur        11      Patriot                VA       147      Southeast    ** Individual
Katelyn Tuohy          8       North Rockland         NY       146      New York
Alex Harris            11      North Rockland         NY       146      New York
Alex Buck              12      Pendleton Heights      IN       146      Midwest      ** Individual
Kristen Garcia         10      Sedro Woolley          WA       146      Northwest    ** Individual
Mary Hennelly          8       Suffern                NY       146      New York     ** Individual
Megan McCandless       12      Granada                CA       146      California   ** Individual
Ember Stratton         9       Sunset                 OR       145      Northwest
Lauren Gregory         11      Fort Collins           CO       145      Southwest    ** Individual
Ashton Endsley         11      Abilene                TX       145      South        ** Individual
Brooke Starn           12      Monte Vista            CA       145      California   ** Individual
Sophie Ryan            10      Fayetteville-Manlius   NY       144      New York
Abby Gray              12      Alamo Heights          TX       144      South        ** Individual
Elly Henes             12      Green Hope             NC       144      Southeast    ** Individual
Lainey Studebaker      12      Centerville            OH       143      Midwest
Jocelyn Long           10      Barrington             IL       142      Midwest      ** Individual
Olivia Brooks          11      Summit                 OR       142      Northwest    ** Individual
Amanda Mayoral         10      Cleveland              NM       142      Southwest    ** Individual
Brie Oakley            11      Grand View             CO       142      Southwest    ** Individual
Rafaella Gibbons       10      Winter Park            FL       142      Southeast    ** Individual
Taylor Cuneo           10      Central Magnet         TN       142      Southeast    ** Individual
Lauren Chapey          12      Mamaroneck             NY       142      New York     ** Individual
Anna Juul              11      Unionville             PA       141      Northeast    ** Individual
Alexandra Decicco      12      Sachem East            NY       141      New York     ** Individual
Lexi Reed              12      D'Evelyn               CO       140      Southwest    ** Individual



Where the Girls Team Scores came from ... 
  (Overall Ratings based on NXN Regional, State Meet plus other available meets...
    See Girls Team Data of Speed Ratings by race ....)

Team Runners and Ratings by Team:  

                                                             Overall
                                                             Speed
  Name                Grade     School              State    Rating     Region
--------------------  -----    -------------------  -----    ------     ---------

Sara Musselman          11     American Fork          UT      136.0     Southwest
Sophie Baird            12     American Fork          UT      129.5     Southwest
Sammy Hollingsworth     11     American Fork          UT      129.0     Southwest
Cami Squires            11     American Fork          UT      126.8     Southwest
Katie Cornell           12     American Fork          UT      120.0     Southwest
Katie Bradshaw          11     American Fork          UT      110.5     Southwest
Lacie Evans             10     American Fork          UT      106.6     Southwest

Samantha Marin          11     Blacksburg             VA      127.0     Southeast
Sophia Link             9      Blacksburg             VA      126.9     Southeast
Annie Kay Combs         11     Blacksburg             VA      120.8     Southeast
Ailene Edwards          9      Blacksburg             VA      117.0     Southeast
Mikayla Richardson      12     Blacksburg             VA      114.9     Southeast
Simonne Guenette        10     Blacksburg             VA      113.1     Southeast
Olivia Hodge            12     Blacksburg             VA      104.2     Southeast

Piper Meuwissen         11     Bozeman                MT      135.5     Northwest
Kenenni Wiegand         11     Bozeman                MT      134.3     Northwest
Camila Noe              10     Bozeman                MT      124.7     Northwest
Phoebe Jacques          10     Bozeman                MT      111.0     Northwest
Laina Hall              10     Bozeman                MT      110.0     Northwest
Zoe Eberspecher         10     Bozeman                MT      100.0     Northwest
Elsa Sven               11     Bozeman                MT      93.0      Northwest

Sarah Leinheiser        11     Carmel                 IN      147.4     Midwest
Stacy Morozov           12     Carmel                 IN      133.1     Midwest
Maddie Dalton           10     Carmel                 IN      126.0     Midwest
Christina Geisler       11     Carmel                 IN      124.4     Midwest
Megan Kress             12     Carmel                 IN      109.5     Midwest
Rachel Anderson         11     Carmel                 IN      107.0     Midwest
Daphne Boom             11     Carmel                 IN      105.0     Midwest

Lainey Studebaker       12     Centerville            OH      140.0     Midwest
Grace Kilroy            9      Centerville            OH      125.5     Midwest
Taylor Malchow          12     Centerville            OH      123.4     Midwest
Kelli Walsh             10     Centerville            OH      121.5     Midwest
Savannah Lowe           9      Centerville            OH      120.0     Midwest
Allison Fick            9      Centerville            OH      115.0     Midwest
Rachel Whitehead        9      Centerville            OH      112.5     Midwest

Fiona O'Keeffe          12     Davis Senior           CA      145.0     California
Sofia Castiglioni       11     Davis Senior           CA      135.0     California
Abigail Fisk            11     Davis Senior           CA      133.2     California
Olivia O'Keeffe         10     Davis Senior           CA      132.0     California
Sophia Lodigiani        9      Davis Senior           CA      123.0     California
Sage Taylor             10     Davis Senior           CA      102.0     California
Elise Chu               12     Davis Senior           CA      93.0      California

Courtney Wayment        12     Davis Utah             UT      143.0     Southwest
Aubrey Argyle           11     Davis Utah             UT      133.0     Southwest
Sam Hedquist            12     Davis Utah             UT      115.3     Southwest
Jenna Connell           11     Davis Utah             UT      114.9     Southwest
Ally Geisler            11     Davis Utah             UT      113.7     Southwest
Grace Neuenschwander    11     Davis Utah             UT      110.5     Southwest
Abi Waddoups            9      Davis Utah             UT      102.0     Southwest

Maria Rickman           9      Edina                  MN      132.0     Heartland
Emily Kompelien         10     Edina                  MN      127.5     Heartland
Amanda Mosborg          11     Edina                  MN      124.0     Heartland
Tate Sweeney            11     Edina                  MN      120.5     Heartland
Hannah Mitchell         11     Edina                  MN      115.0     Heartland
Ellen O'Neill           11     Edina                  MN      110.0     Heartland
Brynn LiaBraaten        11     Edina                  MN      107.0     Heartland

Kaitlyn Neal            12     Fayetteville-Manlius   NY      151.0     New York
Claire Walters          8      Fayetteville-Manlius   NY      143.5     New York
Sam Levy                12     Fayetteville-Manlius   NY      137.1     New York
Sophie Ryan             10     Fayetteville-Manlius   NY      137.0     New York
Becca Walters           10     Fayetteville-Manlius   NY      136.5     New York
Palmer Madsen           10     Fayetteville-Manlius   NY      134.5     New York
Jenna Farrell           12     Fayetteville-Manlius   NY      129.5     New York

Destiny Collins         12     Great Oak              CA      149.9     California
Evelyn Mandel           11     Great Oak              CA      134.0     California
Nicole Rice             11     Great Oak              CA      133.9     California
Sandra Pflughoft        10     Great Oak              CA      132.3     California
Kiyena Beatty           11     Great Oak              CA      131.3     California
Emily Clause            12     Great Oak              CA      130.0     California
Sydney Belus            11     Great Oak              CA      128.8     California
Abby Guidry             12     Kingwood               TX      135.5     South
Erin Gallagher          12     Kingwood               TX      125.0     South
Olivia Thompson         12     Kingwood               TX      119.1     South
Mckenzie Clark          9      Kingwood               TX      115.5     South
Sarah Antrich           11     Kingwood               TX      104.0     South
Jessica Hergott         10     Kingwood               TX      102.0     South
Amy Berg                12     Kingwood               TX      100.0     South

Eliza Rego              12     La Salle Academy       RI      134.0     Northeast
Grace Connolly          10     La Salle Academy       RI      125.1     Northeast
Karina Tavares          12     La Salle Academy       RI      124.3     Northeast
Emily Kane              10     La Salle Academy       RI      122.5     Northeast
Alyson Walsh            11     La Salle Academy       RI      109.4     Northeast
Audrey O'Neill          12     La Salle Academy       RI      109.3     Northeast
Elise Papazian          12     La Salle Academy       RI      104.0     Northeast

Kate Murphy             11     Lake Braddock          VA      151.5     Southeast
Sarah Daniels           10     Lake Braddock          VA      124.0     Southeast
Emily Schiesl           11     Lake Braddock          VA      123.0     Southeast
Sofia Butseva           12     Lake Braddock          VA      121.0     Southeast
Samantha Schwers        10     Lake Braddock          VA      117.0     Southeast
Madeline McAvoy         10     Lake Braddock          VA      100.0     Southeast
Madison Tippet          11     Lake Braddock          VA      99.0      Southeast

Judy Pendergast         12     Naperville North       IL      155.0     Midwest
Sarah Schmitt           10     Naperville North       IL      131.1     Midwest
Emory Griffin           12     Naperville North       IL      121.5     Midwest
Claire Hamilton         11     Naperville North       IL      120.3     Midwest
Kate Shannon            12     Naperville North       IL      120.2     Midwest
Jenny Gibson            12     Naperville North       IL      112.4     Midwest
Kayla Glowacki          11     Naperville North       IL      111.5     Midwest

Katelyn Tuohy           8      North Rockland         NY      143.5     New York
Alex Harris             11     North Rockland         NY      141.5     New York
Haleigh Morales         8      North Rockland         NY      125.5     New York
Claire Tantillo         12     North Rockland         NY      113.0     New York
Kerry O'Connor          10     North Rockland         NY      108.8     New York
Noelle Feeney           10     North Rockland         NY      105.1     New York
Aida Torpey             12     North Rockland         NY      97.0      New York

Lexa Barrott            12     Northville             MI      134.5     Midwest
Olivia Harp             9      Northville             MI      122.3     Midwest
Hailey Harris           12     Northville             MI      122.2     Midwest
Ana Barrott             10     Northville             MI      122.0     Midwest
Emma Herrmann           12     Northville             MI      121.0     Midwest
Cayla Eckenroth         11     Northville             MI      110.0     Midwest
Rachel Zimmer           10     Northville             MI      95.0      Midwest

Olivia Sargent          12     Pennsbury              PA      146.5     Northeast
Hannah Molloy           12     Pennsbury              PA      135.0     Northeast
Mary Webb               11     Pennsbury              PA      133.0     Northeast
Meridith Twomey         12     Pennsbury              PA      120.1     Northeast
Madeline Sauer          12     Pennsbury              PA      114.5     Northeast
Bailey Balmer           12     Pennsbury              PA      112.5     Northeast
Rachel Estey            10     Pennsbury              PA      93.0      Northeast

Kelsey Chmiel           9      Saratoga Springs       NY      150.0     New York
Peyton Engborg          10     Saratoga Springs       NY      135.0     New York
Paris Fenoff            9      Saratoga Springs       NY      132.8     New York
Caroline Starace        10     Saratoga Springs       NY      122.1     New York
Alexandra Delnicki      9      Saratoga Springs       NY      121.0     New York
Amelia Mahoney          11     Saratoga Springs       NY      120.0     New York
Ciara Knott             9      Saratoga Springs       NY      118.0     New York

Gillian Mortimer        11     Southlake Carroll      TX      120.0     South
Kayli Jones             12     Southlake Carroll      TX      117.3     South
Alison Esparza          12     Southlake Carroll      TX      117.1     South
Cate Tracht             10     Southlake Carroll      TX      117.0     South
Antigone Archer         12     Southlake Carroll      TX      116.5     South
Sarah Odneal            12     Southlake Carroll      TX      116.0     South
Olivia Arriaza          12     Southlake Carroll      TX      101.0     South

Ember Stratton          9      Sunset                 OR      144.4     Northwest
Audrey Huelskamp        12     Sunset                 OR      129.0     Northwest
Nicole Griffiths        12     Sunset                 OR      125.0     Northwest
Isabel Huelskamp        12     Sunset                 OR      119.5     Northwest
Kelly Makin             10     Sunset                 OR      108.0     Northwest
Elizabeth Thompson      11     Sunset                 OR      95.0      Northwest

Jessa Hanson            11     Willmar                MN      134.5     Heartland
Sophie Schmitz          11     Willmar                MN      127.0     Heartland
Heidi Schmitz           9      Willmar                MN      124.3     Heartland
Kayla Rudie             11     Willmar                MN      121.5     Heartland
Serena Monson           9      Willmar                MN      116.0     Heartland
Leah Hanson             9      Willmar                MN      105.0     Heartland
Savannah Anez           11     Willmar                MN      102.0     Heartland

Sarah Carter            11     Xavier Col Prep        AZ      135.0     Southwest
Tessa Weiss             12     Xavier Col Prep        AZ      125.5     Southwest
Jane Miller             12     Xavier Col Prep        AZ      123.7     Southwest
Caroline Liddy          10     Xavier Col Prep        AZ      110.1     Southwest
Helen Innes             9      Xavier Col Prep        AZ      110.0     Southwest
Shannan Higgins         12     Xavier Col Prep        AZ      109.0     Southwest