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 Foot Locker Speed Rating Preview 2017

 

I compiled the following lists to familiarize myself with runners competing in Foot Locker 2017 ... I wanted a general idea of what the runners have accomplished in terms of speed ratings with a look towards handicapping the race ... Knowing something about the runners and contenders make the races more interesting when watching the races.

The tables below include:
 ... Overall Rating - an approximated overall speed rating for betting purposes
 ... FL Region Rating - speed rating from the Foot Locker regional
 ... State Meet Rating - speed rating from the State Meet
 ... Other Ratings - other selected speed ratings from the season (Note - 1 speed rating point = 3 seconds)

Some brief comments about selected runners are given following the tables ... (Link to Speed Rating History at Foot Locker Finals)

 

 BOYS Foot Locker Preview Speed Ratings
Name Gr School St Region Overall Rating Foot Locker Region Rating FL Region Place State Meet Rating Selected Other Seasonal Ratings
Daniel Kilrea 12 Lyons Township IL Midwest 197 197 1 191 197 - NXN Nationals
195 - NXN Midwest Region
193 - Culver Academies IN
194 - First to Finish Invite IL
193 - Mike Kuharic Invite IL
Tristan Shelgren 12 St. John's Prep MA Northeast 194 194 1 194 191 - MA Eastern States MA
182 - Manhattan Invite NY
187 - Ocean State Inv RI
Zach Kreft 12 Buckeye Valley OH Midwest 193 193 2 188 189 - NXN Midwest Region
193 - Midwest Meet of Champ
187 - Tiffin Invitational OH
Dylan Jacobs 12 Sandburg IL Midwest 193 193 5 182 192 - NXN Nationals
192 - NXN Midwest Region
190 - IHSA 3A Sectional
195 - Peoria Invitational IL
187 - Richard Spring Invite IL
184 - Mike Kuharic Invite IL
Drew Bosley 11 Homestead WI Midwest 193 192 10 188 194 - NXN Nationals
191 - NXN Midwest Region
186- Arrowhead Invite WI
Drew Thompson 12 Fairfield Prep CT Northeast 193 191 7 187 192 - New England Champ
193 - Woods Trail Run VT
Clayton Mendez 12 Whitney Young IL Midwest 193 193 3 187 191 - NXN Nationals
191 - NXN Midwest Region
Devin Hart 11 Pt. Pleasant Boro NJ Northeast 193 191 6 194 194 - NJ Group Champ NJ
187 - NY Shore Coaches Inv NJ
190 - Bowdoin Park Classic NY
Matt Scrape 12 Pickerington Central OH Midwest 192 193 4 188 186 - NXN Midwest Region
185 - Hot Summer Bash OH
179 - OHSAA Early Season OH
Chad Johnson 12 Colonel Crawford OH Midwest 192 192 6 184 187 - Tiffin Invitational OH
John Tatter 12 R.J. Reynolds NC South 192 193 1 190 184 - Wendy's Invite NC
192 - adidas Challenge NC
181 - Jungle Run NC
Dalton Hengst 12 McDonogh School MD Northeast 192 190 4 --- 182 - Manhattan Invite NY
192 - Great American Fest NC
189 - Paul Short Run PA
190 - Barnhart Invite MD
Nathan Lawler 12 Pittsford Mendon NY Northeast 192 191 5 193 179 - Section 5-Class B
192 - Monroe County NY
191 - Manhattan East St NY
185 - McQuaid Inv-AA-Sd NY
Titus Winders 12 Henry County TN South 191 189 6 192 187 - Brooks Memphis Twilight TN
Harrison Scudamore 12 Denver East CO Midwest 191 192 7 182 187 - NXN Southwest Region
187 - Rim Rock Invite KS
178 - Libert Bell Invite CO
181 - Centaurus Invite CO
Matthew Schadler 12 Evansville Memorial IN Midwest 191 192 8 186 184 - NXN Midwest Region
177 - Trinity-Valkyrie Inv KY
179 - THSB Invitational IN
Shuaib Aljabaly 12 Coldwater MI Midwest 191 192 9 190 183 - Portage Invitational MI
186 - MSU Spartan Elite MI
Michael Phillips 12 Chiles FL South 191 191 2 189 192 - Great American Fest NC
Damien Dilcher 12 Brick Township NJ Northeast 191 193 2 177 187 - NJ Group Champ NJ
185 - Shore Conf Champ NJ
180 - Manhattan Invite NY
Kashon Harrison 11 Kirtland Central NM West 191 192 1 188 187 - NXN Southwest Region
187 - Desert Twilight AZ
181 - UNM Lobo Invite NM
Meika Beaudoin-Rousseau 12 Bellarmine College Prep CA West 191 191 2 187 185 - Central Coast Section CA
189 - Mt SAC Invite CA
181 - Lowell Invite CA
Joaquin Martinez De Pinillos 12 Cathedral Catholic CA West 191 191 3 189 190 - San Diego Section CA
184 - Mt SAC Invite CA
178 - Woodbridge Classic CA
Lucas Aramburu 11 Brookline MA Northeast 190 192 3 184 180 - MA Eastern States MA
177 - Woods Trail Run VT
Mason Gatewood 12 St. Anthony's NY Northeast 190 187 10 191 183 - CHSAA Championship NY
192 - Manhattan East St NY
190 - St. Anthonys Invite NY
187 - Ocean State RI
Graydon Morris 10 Aledo TX South 189 189 3 188 186 - UIL 5A - Region 1 TX
180 - Southlake Carroll Inv TX
Robert Carter Cheeseman 11 Forth Worth Christian TX South 189 189 4 --- 186 - NXN Nationals
191 - NXN South Region
187 - Great American Fest NC
187 - Keller Invitational TX
181 - Southlake Carroll Inv TX
Carter Coughlin
 
12 Webb School of Knoxville TN South 188 189 5 185 186 - Greater Louisville Classic KY
183 - Cherokee Farm Invite TN
182 - Cherokee Classic TN
Kyle Harkabus 10 East Coweta GA South 189 189 7 179 173 - Saucony Battle of Atlanta GA
Zach Winter 12 Fremont UT West 189 190 4 185 182 - Park City Invite UT
188 - Bob Firman Inv ID
Rusty Kujdych 12 Neshaminy PA Northeast 189 188 8 188 188 - PA Ditrict 1 PA
190 - Manhattan Invite NY
188 - Paul Short Run PA
183 - PIAA Foundation PA
187 - Briarwood Inv PA
181 - PTXC 9 Invite PA
Jake Renfree 11 Knoxville Catholic TN South 188 188 8 181 184 - Cherokee Farm Inv TN
179 - Cherokee Classic TN
David Melville 12 Northern Guilford NC South 189 188 9 188 190 - Great American Fest NC
187 - adidas Challenge NC
Bronson Winter 12 Fremont UT West 188 190 7 188 180 - Park City Invite UT
187 - Bob Firman Inv ID
Fahd Nasser 12 McNair Academic NJ Northeast 188 188 9 189 180 - NJ Group Champ NJ
180 - Manhattan Invite NY
181 - NJ Shore Coaches NJ
Roberto Porras 12 Olympus UT West 188 190 5 168 177 - Park City Invite UT
177 - Murray Invite UT
164 - Highland Invite UT
Collin Ullrich 12 Liberty Ranch CA West 188 190 6 180 176 - Sac-Joaquin Final CA
186 - Clovis Invitational CA
180 - Woodbridge Classic CA
Turlan Morlan 12 Gonzaga Prep WA West 187 189 8 181 172 - OR/WA Border Clash OR
172 - NXN Northwest Region
171 - Richland Invite WA
178 - Mountain West Classic MT
Darius Riley 12 Rancho Cucamonga CA West 187 188 9 184 184 - CA SS Finals CA
175 - CA SS PreLim CA
182 - Mt SAC Invite CA
175 - Inland Empire Chall CA
183 - Clovis Invitational CA
176 - Nike Portland OR
175 - Cool Breeze Inv CA
Camren Fischer 11 Fayetteville AR South 187 187 10 184 187 - Chile Pepper Fest AR
177 - Forest Park Fest MO
Justin Hartshorn 12 Lone Peak UT West 187 187 10 187 178 - NXN Southwest Region
175 - Region 4 Champ UT
179 - Nebo Invitational UT
166 - BYU Autumn Classic UT
177 - Utah County Inv UT
180 - Pre-Region 4 UT
 

General Comment ... I suspect the speed ratings for the top finishers at Foot Locker Nationals may be higher than those shown in table above (that's typically the case) ... To finish in top places at Foot Locker Nationals typically requires exceptional performances, usually season-best performances ... Foot Locker is unique because it has a small field of select runners coming to the race expecting to run fast (knowing they have to run fast to place well) ... Top national competition on a fast course under good weather conditions yields top performances (usually season-best performances).

Five of twelve underclassmen from last year's Foot Locker return this year ... The returning runners include (with their finishes last year): Dylan Jacobs (11th), Meika Beaudoin-Rousseau (19th), Dalton Hengst (21st), Graydon Morris (34th) and Drew Thompson (35th)  ... (Link to Speed Rating History at Foot Locker Finals)

Five runners competed at NXN Nationals 2017 ... Daniel Kilrea (5th), Drew Bosley (7th),  Dylan Jacobs (13th), Clayton Mendez (18th) and Carter Cheeseman (36th).

The Top Speed Ratings at NXN Nationals were:
1 - Aidan Troutner - 201 ** ... (previous best 195)
2 - Brodey Hasty - 200 ** ... (previous best 199)
3 - Liam Anderson - 199 ** ... (previous best 190)
4 - James Mwaura - 198 ** ... (previous best 196)
5 - Danny Kilrea - 197 == ... (previous best 197)
6 - Dustin Horter - 195  ... (previous best 196)
7 - Drew Bosley - 194 ** ... (previous best 192)
8 - Conant Smith - 194 == ... (previous best 194)
9 - Charles Hicks - 193 ** ... (previous best 189)
10- Khalid Hussein - 193 ** ... (previous best 190)
 ... (**: best of season, ==: equaled best of season)

Seven of the top ten at NXN had their best speed rating of the season ... Danny Kilrea equaled his best (197), and is the top-rated runner in this Foot Locker field ... I expect some of the top finishers at Foot Locker will set speed rating PRs.

This race is wide open ... Danny Kilrea is the slight morning-line favorite.

Based on the speed ratings, as many as 10-15 guys have a legitimate shot at winning this race depending on who's feeling good ... and that makes the race competitive and interesting.

 

 

 GIRLS Foot Locker Preview Speed Ratings
Name Gr School St Region Overall Rating Foot Locker Region Rating FL Region Place State Meet Rating Other Seasonal Ratings
Claudia Lane 11 Malibu CA West 166 166 1 163 148 - CA SS Finals CA
163 - CA SS PreLim CA
166 - Mt SAC Invite CA
156 - Tri Valley Meet 2 CA
159 - Casitas Twilight CA
Olivia Theis 12 Lansing Catholic MI Midwest 157 152 1 157 157 - Portage Invite MI
155 - Cougar Falcon Inv MI
155 - MSU Spartan Elite MI
Rebecca Story 12 Christian Academy TN South 150+ 145 1 139 146 - Wendy's Invite
148 - Cherokee Farm Inv
** 9:59.80 3200 meter
Katelynne Hart 10 Glenbard West IL Midwest 152 150 2 146 153 - NXN Nationals
146 - NXN Midwest Region
145 - West Suburban Silver IL
148 - Naperville Twilight IL
144 - Richard Spring Inv IL
151 - Lake Park Lancer IL
149 - Hornet-Red Devil IL
Marlee Starliper 10 Northern PA Northeast 150 150 1 148 151 - PA District 3 PA
150 - Carlisle Invite PA
Katherine Lee 12 Shoreham Wading River NY Northeast 149 149 2 124++ 142 - Section 11-Class B NY
145 - Sec 11 Div Champ NY
143 - Manhattan Var E NY
134 - Ocean State RI NY
133 - Bob Pratt Inv-A NY
Jacqueline Gaughan 11 Exeter NH Northeast 149 148 3 151 136 - New England Champ
150 - Brown Northeast RI
148 - Woods Trail Run VT
146 - Manchester Inv NH
Emily Covert 11 Minneapolis Washburn MN Midwest 149 150 3 146 124 - NXN Nationals
149 - NXN Heartland Region
143 - MN Section 6AA MN
148 - Roy Griak Invite MN
138 - Columbus Catholic WI
Sarah Schmitt 12 Naperville North IL Midwest 147 146 4 142 148 - NXN Nationals
141 - NXN Midwest Region
140 - Dupage Valley Conf IL
140 - Naperville Twilight IL
136 - Roy Griak Invite MN
139 - First To The Finish IL
137 - Spartan Invite IA
Ericka Vanderlende 11 Rockford MI Midwest 146 144 5 148 140 - Portage Invite MI
140 - MSU Spartan Elite MI
133 - Portage Early Bird MI
Adelyn Ackley 11 Hart MI Midwest 146 141 8 138 148 - MSU Spartan Elite MI
146 - Benzie Pete Moss MI
Tierney Wolfgram 9 Math & Sci Academy MN Midwest 146 141 9 145 141 - NXN Nationals
152 - NXN Heartland Region
126 - Roy Griak Invite MN
140 - Fairbault Invite MN
136 - St. Olaf Showcase MN
Bailey Hertenstein 12 Newsome FL South 145 143 5 146 140 - flrunners.com Inv FL
Victoria Starcher 10 Ripley WV South 143 144 2 --- 134 - Greater Louisville KY
140 - adidas Challenge NC
Ana Wallace 12 Chiles FL South 143 144 3 141 142 - Great American Fest NC
Alyssa Hendrix 10 Riverview FL South 143 143 8 145 138 - flrunners.com Inv FL
Chloe Arriaga 11 Walnut CA West 143 139 7 139 144 - CA SS Finals CA
143 - CA SS PreLim CA
135 - Mt SAC Invite CA
144 - Woodbridge Classic CA
Halena Rahmaan 11 Montgomery TX South 143 143 6 144 136 - Texas 6A-Region 2 TX
134 - Nike South Invite TX
138 - Flower Mound Inv TX
Heather Holt 12 George C. Marshall VA South 143 143 7 --- 127 - Monroe Parker Invite VA
Cecilia Stalzer 11 Mason MI Midwest 142 142 7 142 116 - Portage Invite MI
Rylee Robinson 11 Waterford Mott MI Midwest 142 141 10 142 136 - MSU Spartan Elite MI
Mariah Howlett 12 Lake Norman Charter NC South 142 143 4 136 129 - Wendy's Invitational NC
Adoette Vaughan 11 Hockaday TX South 142 143 9 --- 140 - Nike South Invite TX
134 - Marcus I Invite TX
Heidi Nielson 9 Katy Cinco Ranch TX South 142 143 10 140 132 - NXN South Region
132 - Nike South Invite TX
Morgan McCormick 12 Wilton CT Northeast 142 142 4 136 141 - New England Champ
Page Lester 12 National Cathedral DC Northeast 142 142 5 ---  ~142 - Pacers DCXC DC
Savannah Shaw 12 Upper Saint Clair PA Northeast 141 141 6 134 142 - PA District 7 PA
138 - PIAA Foundation PA
Katie Thronson 12 Lewis And Clark WA West 141 142 2 140 134 - OR/WA Border Clash OR
134 - Richland Invite WA
Abigail Green 12 Walter Johnson MD Northeast 141 140 7 139 141 - Manhattan Invite NY
143 - Glory Days Grill VA
~135 - Pacers DCXC DC
Eleanor Lawler 12 South Kingstown RI Northeast 141 139 8 141 144 - New England Champ
129 - Manchester Inv NH
Phoebe Bates 10 Carmel IN Midwest 139 142 6 136 134 - NXN Midwest Region
132 - Indiana Semi-State-2 IN
131 - Indiana Region 10 IN
127 - IHSAA Sectional IN
131 - Trinity-Valkyrie KY
127 - Marion Invite IN
Camille Winterton 12 Skyline UT West 139 141 3 127 116 - Park City Invite UT
138 - Bob Firman Inv ID
133 - Murray Invite UT
121 - Highland Invite UT
Alize Hartke 12 Oakmont CA West 138 140 4 135 132 - Mt SAC Invite CA
133 - Clovis Invitational CA
130 - Woodbridge Classic CA
127 - Lowell Invite CA
Alyssa Bautista 12 Capistrano Valley CA West 138 140 5 138 132 - CA SS Finals CA
112 - Mt SAC Invite CA
118 - Orange County CA
112 - Clovis Invitational CA
123 - Dana Hills Invite CA
100 - Woodbridge Classic CA
Kristen Garcia 12 Sedro Woolley WA West 138 140 6 134 130 - OR/WA Border Clash OR
126 - Nike Hole in Wall WA
Annika Reiss 11 Bellingham WA West 138 139 8 130 133 - OR/WA Border Clash OR
Abby Loveys 11 Randolph NJ Northeast 137 138 9 135 133 - NJ Groups Champ NJ
126 - NJ Shore Coaches NJ
135 - Xavier Invitational NY
Patricia Miessner 10 East Lake CA West 137 137 10 128 135 - San Diego Section CA
136 - Mt SAC Invite CA
132 - Mt. Carmel Invite CA
Alissa Fielding 12 Mountain View UT West 137 138 9 134 128 - Region 10 Champ UT
130 - Park City Invite UT
129 - Nebo Invitational UT
131 - BYU Autumn Classic UT
124 - Murray Invite UT
123 - Utah County Inv UT
121 - Pre-Region 10 UT
Taryn Parks 10 Greencastle-Antrim PA Northeast 136 137 10 128 131 - PA District 3 PA
115 - Oatlands Invite VA
 

General Comment ... Claudia Lane is the odds-on favorite based on exceptional seasonal performances.

Ten underclassmen return this year from last year's Foot Locker ... The returning runners include (with their finishes last year): Claudia Lane (1st), Rebecca Story (3rd), Jacqueline Gaughan (11th), Olivia Theis (14th), Bailey Hertenstein (20th), Abigail Green (21st), Heather Holt (27th), Page Lester (32nd), Katie Thronson (33rd) and Tayrn Parks (40th)  ... (Link to Speed Rating History at Foot Locker Finals)

Three runners competed at NXN Nationals 2017 ... Katelynn Hart (4th), Sarah Schmitt (8th) and Tierney Wolfgram (27th)

The Top Speed Ratings at NXN Nationals were:
1 - Katelyn Tuohy - 172 == ... (previous best 172)
2 - Kelsey Chmiel - 159 ** ... (previous best 158)
3 - Mariah Castillo - 155 ** ... (previous best 150)
4 - Katelynne Hart - 153 ** ... (previous best 151)
5 - Claire Walters - 149 ... (previous best 151)
6 - Brooke Rauber - 148 ... (previous best 149)
7 - Sadie Sargent - 148 ** ... (previous best 143)
8 - Sarah Schmitt - 147 ** ... (previous best 146)
9 - Sydney Thorvaldson - 147 ... (previous best 148)
10- Anna Fenske - 147 ** ... (previous best 146)
 ... (**: best of season, ==: equaled best of season)

Six of the top ten at NXN had their best speed rating of the season ... Katelynne Hart had her season's best at NXN (153), and is the 3rd or 4th top-rated runner in this Foot Locker field (Rebecca Story ran a 9:59 3200 meter race, and was 3rd at Foot Locker last year off similar (and had a 153 rating at FLN)) ... I expect some of the top finishers at Foot Locker will set speed rating PRs.

Selected Individual Runners

Claudia Lane ... Claudia Lane is the defending Foot Locker Champion ... she is running faster this XC season than last year, and that makes her the odds-on favorite to win again.

Claudia Lane and Katelyn Tuohy (the NXN Champion) are exceptional talents ... It is rare that talents of this magnitude occur in the same season and both are at their peak at this point of the season ... It would likely be a great race if these two were in the same race at this time, but it will not happen.

Olivia Theis ... Olivia Theis is undefeated this season ... she has posted two speed ratings of 157 this season which is exceptionally good, and I don't think she has been challenged all season ... she may have more speed to show, and she will be tested here ...Maybe Olivia Theis can contend with Claudia Lane ... To Be Determined on Saturday Dec 9th ... Olivia Theis is the Foot Locker Midwest winner.

Rebecca Story ... Rebecca Story finished a very good 3rd at Foot Locker last year (153 speed rating) ... Last year, Rebecca ran 9:59.85 at the Hoka One One Postal Nationals 3200 Meters which was an omen for her Foot Locker performance ... This year (on Nov 17th) she ran 9:59.80 ... so I think she is a definite contender for a top three spot at Foot Locker Nationals  ... Rebecca Story is the Foot Locker South winner.

Katelynne Hart ... Katelynne Hart finished a very game 4th at NXN Nationals after going out very fast in the early part of the race.

Marlee Starliper ...  Marlee Starliper is the Foot Locker Northeast winner and she is undefeated this season ... A definite threat for big improvement with this competition.

Katherine Lee ... Katherine Lee finished a very nice 2nd at Foot Locker Northeast in her best performance of the season, and I know she can run faster.